127 Hubert Blvd · Piney Green, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REGULAR PRICE: $79,999 | OWN IT NOW: $74,999! Brand-New 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $74,999 Home Features: ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitchen & Spacious Living Area ✔ Private Primary Suite ✔ Generous Closet Space in All Bedrooms ✔ On-Site Parking ✔ Brand-New Manufactured Home Financing Available: Monthly Payment as low as $1,022.05 * * * (Includes estimated lot rent, taxes & insurance) Flexible financing options available for qualified buyers This is your chance to secure affordable homeownership in a growing community with low monthly payments and minimal upfront cost. Homes at this price point and condition do not last long - schedule your private tour today and take the first step toward owning your new home!
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 5 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 3.6% in Piney Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#524 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.18%
- DSCR
- 3.23
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $36,215
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 53.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.09×
- Total profit
- $89,759
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28539
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$79 /mo · $945/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $738
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Hubert Blvd Hubert, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,051 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.16mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $63,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 694-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $63,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $63,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $63,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $63,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$63,000 Active
-
2026-04-27$79,999 Active 1299-char remark
Show marketing remark (1299 chars)
REGULAR PRICE: $79,999 | OWN IT NOW: $74,999! Brand-New 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home - Move-In Ready! Don't miss this limited-time opportunity to own a brand-new manufactured home at an unbeatable value. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, families, or anyone looking for affordable homeownership, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern design, comfort, and functionality - all at a price that's often less than renting Enjoy the convenience of on-site parking and a move-in-ready home that requires no renovations or updates - just bring your belongings and settle in. Limited-Time "Own It Now" Price: $74,999 Home Features: ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-Concept Kitchen & Spacious Living Area ✔ Private Primary Suite ✔ Generous Closet Space in All Bedrooms ✔ On-Site Parking ✔ Brand-New Manufactured Home Financing Available: Monthly Payment as low as $1,022.05 * * * (Includes estimated lot rent, taxes & insurance) Flexible financing options available for qualified buyers This is your chance to secure affordable homeownership in a growing community with low monthly payments and minimal upfront cost. Homes at this price point and condition do not last long - schedule your private tour today and take the first step toward owning your new home!
-
2023-08-01soldstatus $1,200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$945
- − Insurance
- −$315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,425
- − Management
- −$1,425
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $8,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,849/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Piney Green
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #524
- US rank
- #19401
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,351
- Household income
- $66,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.68%
- Current HPI
- 186.871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
-94.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $63,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-27 Listed $79,999 Zillow
- 2023-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,834 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…