CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
214 Forest Hill Rd
D Composite 43.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

214 Forest Hill Rd · Hodgenville, KY 42748
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,083 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1965 0.63 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Stunning, spacious ALL Brick ranch home located in a prestigious neighborhood, nestled on over 1/2-acre PARK-LIKE setting. Home Features: Open foyer welcomes you into a large living- room/dining area with large newly updated picture windows. Kitchen includes granite countertops with tile backsplash, built in Double Ovens and a stove top island with counter height seating. Family room features beamed ceilings, fireplace and sliding barn doors for added privacy. 4 large bedrooms and 2-1/2 baths. A newly remodeled master bath has double solid surface vanity and walk in tile shower. All bedrooms offer abundant closets for any and all storage needs. Other rooms include a separate home office, an

Key facts

  • Beamed ceilings
  • Stove top island
  • Brick ranch home

Tags

BRICK RANCH HOMEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHDOUBLE OVENSSTOVE TOP ISLANDBEAMED CEILINGS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential property; Auction property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Double oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms; Accessible full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Gas-log fireplace; Partially finished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 1796960.4% vs local median 4.1% in Hodgenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Larue County (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 165 in KY (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Larue County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 744 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Larue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Larue County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
189553.00%
Cap rate
1796960.44%
Cash-on-cash
6417693.38%
DSCR
285552.24
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
340724.48×
Total profit
$95,403
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
735717.12×
Total profit
$206,001
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42748

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
79

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$1,497

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $1 Active
  3. 2026-03-30
    historical
  4. 2026-01-02
    price $364,900
  5. 2026-01-02
    price $364,900
  6. 2025-11-06
    listed $369,900 Active
  7. 2025-11-06
    listed $369,900 Active
  8. 2025-09-24
    price $399,900
  9. 2025-09-17
    price $409,500
  10. 2025-09-09
    price $410,000
  11. 2020-08-17
    soldstatus $264,000
  12. 2018-07-03
    soldstatus $233,000
  13. 2018-07-03
    soldstatus $233,000
  14. 2018-05-16
    listed $242,000
  15. 2000-09-01
    soldstatus $129,550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,746
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$19,107
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,586
After-tax cash flow
$13,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Larue County
NCES district ID
2103180
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$39,784
Composite
27.66/100
National rank
#6918
State rank
#82 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hodgenville

Score
65/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#12858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,189

Population outlook (Larue County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,441 people
By 2030
14,453 · +0.1%
By 2040
14,258 · -1.3%
By 2050
13,687 · -5.2%
By 2075
12,271 · -15.0%
By 2100
10,639 · -26.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Larue

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.3pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+36.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.53%
Current HPI
241.8077
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending HKARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $1 HKARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $364,900 HKARMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $364,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $369,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $369,900 HKARMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $399,900 HKARMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $409,500 HKARMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $410,000 HKARMLS
  • 2020-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $264,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-03 Sold (MLS) $233,000 HKARMLS
  • 2018-05-16 Listed $242,000 HKARMLS
  • 2000-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,550 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,230 · +1603.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…