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6 Siesta Ln 🌊 Lakefront
A- Composite 82.92
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$82,500

6 Siesta Ln · Venus, FL 33960
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1997 1.00 ac lot Est $107k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

OPEN HOUSE THIS SUNDAY/DOMINGO 5/3/26 FROM/DE 10:00 A. M. TO 12:00 P. M. Opportunity to make it your own. 2 bedrooms 2 baths 1008 square feet. All rooms are large. 1 acre and canal in the back. In house laundry. This would make a great weekend getaway or an ARNB. POST OFFICE is less than a mile away. About 15 minutes from Downtown Lake Placid. Restaurants, Doctors Office, Hospital, Stores, Lakes. Orlando, Beaches, Miami about 2 hours away. Floors feel solid mostly cosmetic repairs needed to make it your own. On one acre lot on Canal and Shed. Being sold as is. CASH offers only. Buyer/Buyer agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • One acre lot
  • Shed
  • Canal in the back

Tags

CANAL IN THE BACKIN HOUSE LAUNDRYONE ACRE LOTSHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: m1s; Lot size: 1 acre

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story (one level); Made by sadd, model hs; Property faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Metal siding construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; No patio or porch; Paved road frontage (182 ft)

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($570 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $71k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  3. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  4. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.44%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,848
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Siesta Ln 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,008 (0%) 1mo $70,000 $69 99
17 Recreation Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,128 (+12%) 3mo $120,000 $106 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$54,073
Equity at exit
$60,023
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
7.06×
Total profit
$140,008
Equity at exit
$116,698

Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33960

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$433
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $314/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $624
Max offer price $82,500
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $402 -5% $378 +0% $355 +5% $332 +10% $308
Rent -10% $270 -5% $313 +0% $355 +5% $397 +10% $440
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $376 base $355 +0.5pp $334 +1.0pp $312

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,625
Closing costs
$2,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $82,500 Active
  3. 2006-05-15
    soldstatus $71,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$314 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$685 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$371/yr (+$31/mo · 118.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,885
− Mortgage interest
−$4,621
− Property taxes
−$314
− Insurance
−$412
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,031
− Management
−$1,031
− Depreciation
−$2,400
Taxable income
$3,075
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$738
After-tax cash flow
$3,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Venus

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
618

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 28% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 31%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.52%
Current HPI
314.2498
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $82,500 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2006-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $71,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $314 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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