🌊 Lakefront
6 Siesta Ln · Venus, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$82,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN HOUSE THIS SUNDAY/DOMINGO 5/3/26 FROM/DE 10:00 A. M. TO 12:00 P. M. Opportunity to make it your own. 2 bedrooms 2 baths 1008 square feet. All rooms are large. 1 acre and canal in the back. In house laundry. This would make a great weekend getaway or an ARNB. POST OFFICE is less than a mile away. About 15 minutes from Downtown Lake Placid. Restaurants, Doctors Office, Hospital, Stores, Lakes. Orlando, Beaches, Miami about 2 hours away. Floors feel solid mostly cosmetic repairs needed to make it your own. On one acre lot on Canal and Shed. Being sold as is. CASH offers only. Buyer/Buyer agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- One acre lot
- Shed
- Canal in the back
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: m1s; Lot size: 1 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story (one level); Made by sadd, model hs; Property faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Metal siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; No patio or porch; Paved road frontage (182 ft)
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($570 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $71k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.44%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,848
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Siesta Ln | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $69 | 99 |
| 17 Recreation Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,128 (+12%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $106 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $54,073
- Equity at exit
- $60,023
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.06×
- Total profit
- $140,008
- Equity at exit
- $116,698
Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33960
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $314/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $378 | +0% $355 | +5% $332 | +10% $308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $270 | -5% $313 | +0% $355 | +5% $397 | +10% $440 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $397 | -0.5pp $376 | base $355 | +0.5pp $334 | +1.0pp $312 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,625
- Closing costs
- $2,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-01$82,500 Active
-
2006-05-15soldstatus $71,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$371/yr (+$31/mo · 118.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,621
- − Property taxes
- −$314
- − Insurance
- −$412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,031
- − Management
- −$1,031
- − Depreciation
- −$2,400
- Taxable income
- $3,075
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Venus
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 618
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 28% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 31%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.52%
- Current HPI
- 314.2498
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+15.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-01 Listed $82,500 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2006-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $71,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $314 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…