8612 County Road 40 · Candlewood Lake, OH 44833

$1

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1980 7.05 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Court Ordered Sale by Private Selling Officer. Auction ends on June 3, 2026. All information we have on the property is included. We have no additional information, property condition is unknown. NO SHOWINGS, NO trespassing for any reason. Information is thought to be correct but not guaranteed. 10% Buyer Premium added to the high bid, 10% of the full purchase price deposit is due within 24 hours of bidding end.

Key facts

• 7.05 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1980

🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $1 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#626 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Northmor Local (rural): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #336 of 656 in OH (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Morrow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Morrow County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 121790.00% ✓
• Cap rate: 1154567.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 4123431.81%
• DSCR: 183470.51
• GRM: 0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 218919.02×
• Total profit: $61,297
• Equity at exit: $0

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 472705.74×
• Total profit: $132,357
• Equity at exit: $0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44833

• Home prices YoY: -27.9%
• Active inventory: 76

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,218 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$0
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$0 /mo · $0/yr
• Insurance: −$0
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $962

Break-even live

Break-even rent —

Max offer price $1

Occupancy floor 16%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $962	-5% $962	+0% $962	+5% $962	+10% $962
Rent	-10% $866	-5% $914	+0% $962	+5% $1,010	+10% $1,058
Rate	-1.0pp $962	-0.5pp $962	base $962	+0.5pp $962	+1.0pp $962

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $0
• Closing costs: $0
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-07
   remarks 415-char remark
2. 2026-06-07
   listed $1 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,615
• − Mortgage interest: −$0
• − Property taxes: −$0
• − Insurance: −$0
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,169
• − Management: −$1,169
• − Depreciation: −$0
• Taxable income: $12,276
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,946
• After-tax cash flow: $8,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northmor Local
• NCES district ID: 3904881
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $49,371
• Composite: 48.51/100
• National rank: #2120
• State rank: #336 of 656 in OH

Livability — Candlewood Lake

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #626
• US rank: #10971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Morrow · 41,908 people
• Metro: Columbus, OH
• Population (ZIP): 16,641
• Household income: $57,234
• Rent vs Own: 34.6% rent · 65.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 3.8

Population outlook (Morrow County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,607 people
• By 2030: 35,482 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 34,369 · -3.5%
• By 2050: 32,038 · -10.0%
• By 2075: 25,090 · -29.5%
• By 2100: 17,123 · -51.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morrow

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.57%
• Current HPI: 218.195
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,652 · -13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.