1364 Evergreen Rd · Sylvester, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
Key facts
- 3.54 acre lot
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 3.54 acres
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Residential property; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Hardwood and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.6% in Sylvester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#287 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Worth County (town): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #91 of 174 in GA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Worth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Worth County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.94%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,544
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- 2.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $70
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $22,084
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31791
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $297 | +0% $268 | +5% $238 | +10% $208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $218 | +0% $268 | +5% $317 | +10% $367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $294 | base $268 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $213 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $104,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $104,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $104,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $117,325 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-04-16price $117,325 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-03-31status Active 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-03-31status Active 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-03-25status Pending 147-char remark
-
2026-03-24status Pending 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-03-17$123,500 Active 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
-
2026-03-17$123,500 Active 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
Great investment: this 3-bed/1-bath home sits on over 3 acres! The home needs some work but offers great potential and several exterior buildings.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,518 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,518 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,518
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,637
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$393
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worth County
- NCES district ID
- 1305850
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,056
- Composite
- 25.97/100
- National rank
- #7327
- State rank
- #91 of 174 in GA
Livability — Sylvester
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #15795
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,312
Population outlook (Worth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,547 people
- By 2030
- 17,345 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 14,978 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 12,782 · -31.1%
- By 2075
- 8,832 · -52.4%
- By 2100
- 6,226 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 35% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Worth
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.7% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+40.2 2008: R+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.96%
- Current HPI
- 185.9708
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-15.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Relisted — SWGABOR
- 2026-06-18 Listed $104,900 MBOR
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $104,900 SWGABOR
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $104,900 MBOR
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $117,325 MBOR
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $117,325 SWGABOR
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — SWGABOR
- 2026-03-24 Pending — SWGABOR
- 2026-03-17 Listed $123,500 SWGABOR
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,518 · +45.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…