5 Navoski Ln · Atlasburg, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$62,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.
Key facts
- Sump pump
- One level living
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,042 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Burgettstown Area SD (rural): math 22% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #411 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.60%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,351
- List price
- $62,900
- Delta
- -58.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662 Joffre Cherry Valley Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (-3%) | 12mo | $112,000 | $114 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $24,516
- Equity at exit
- $9,612
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.76×
- Total profit
- $66,146
- Equity at exit
- $5,840
Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15021
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $540
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,725
- Closing costs
- $1,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-02-03price $62,900 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.
-
2025-05-29$79,900 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.
-
2025-05-28historical Expired 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Spacious Ranch with generous sized rooms in a semi private setting;
-
2024-05-29$84,000 Active 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Spacious Ranch with generous sized rooms in a semi private setting;
-
2023-08-01historical Expired
-
2023-04-02$55,000 Active
-
2023-03-31historical Expired
-
2022-12-08$50,000 Active
-
2022-05-30price $60,000
-
2022-03-20status Active
-
2022-03-20price $75,000
-
2022-01-26historical Contingent
-
2022-01-12price $100,000
-
2021-11-22$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,113
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$981
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,289
- − Management
- −$1,289
- − Depreciation
- −$1,830
- Taxable income
- $5,895
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burgettstown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204500
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,509
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6310
- State rank
- #411 of 539 in PA
Livability — Atlasburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1042
- US rank
- #11605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 297
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,775
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Serbian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.92%
- Current HPI
- 258.4607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-49.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $62,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-05-28 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-05-29 Listed $84,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-08-01 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2023-04-02 Listed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-03-31 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2022-12-08 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-05-30 Price Changed $60,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-03-20 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2022-03-20 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-01-26 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2022-01-12 Price Changed $100,000 West Penn MLS
- 2021-11-22 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,306 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…