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5 Navoski Ln
B Composite 72.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$62,900

5 Navoski Ln · Atlasburg, PA 15021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,006 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 360 Days on market
Built 1910 0.26 ac lot $63/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.

Key facts

  • Sump pump
  • One level living
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGLOWER LEVEL IN LAW SUITEINTERIOR FRENCH DRAINSUMP PUMPLAUNDRY AND KITCHENETTE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,042 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Burgettstown Area SD (rural): math 22% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #411 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
17.66%
Cash-on-cash
40.60%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,351
List price
$62,900
Delta
-58.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
662 Joffre Cherry Valley Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (-3%) 12mo $112,000 $114 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$24,516
Equity at exit
$9,612
10-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$66,146
Equity at exit
$5,840

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15021

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
Insurance
$26
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $659
Max offer price $62,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,725
Closing costs
$1,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-02-03
    price $62,900 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.

  2. 2025-05-29
    listed $79,900 Active 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    AMAZING SECLUSION, one level living with a ton of space. MUST SEE! Spacious Ranch with endless possibilities with lower level in the process of being renovated and would be a handyman dream; generous sized rooms throughout; many updates, 3 bedrooms on the main level, lower level can be in law suite with its own separate entrance; interior French Drain installed with Sump Pump, laundry and kitchenette with full bath (needs finished) and 1-2 bedrooms possible.

  3. 2025-05-28
    historical Expired 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Spacious Ranch with generous sized rooms in a semi private setting;

  4. 2024-05-29
    listed $84,000 Active 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Spacious Ranch with generous sized rooms in a semi private setting;

  5. 2023-08-01
    historical Expired
  6. 2023-04-02
    listed $55,000 Active
  7. 2023-03-31
    historical Expired
  8. 2022-12-08
    listed $50,000 Active
  9. 2022-05-30
    price $60,000
  10. 2022-03-20
    status Active
  11. 2022-03-20
    price $75,000
  12. 2022-01-26
    historical Contingent
  13. 2022-01-12
    price $100,000
  14. 2021-11-22
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,113
− Mortgage interest
−$3,523
− Property taxes
−$1,306
− Insurance
−$981
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$1,830
Taxable income
$5,895
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,415
After-tax cash flow
$5,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burgettstown Area SD
NCES district ID
4204500
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$49,509
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6310
State rank
#411 of 539 in PA

Livability — Atlasburg

Score
66/100
State rank
#1042
US rank
#11605

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
297
Population (ZIP)
6,775

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Serbian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.92%
Current HPI
258.4607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-49.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $62,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-28 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $84,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-08-01 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2023-04-02 Listed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-03-31 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2022-12-08 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-05-30 Price Changed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-03-20 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2022-03-20 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-01-26 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2022-01-12 Price Changed $100,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-11-22 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,306 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…