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Belmont Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 28.04
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,990

Belmont Plan · Port St. Lucie, FL 34987
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,429 sqft · SingleFamily · 44 Days on market
Excellent condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Oaks Collection is a new series of single-family homes for sale in the Brystol at Wylder masterplan in Port St. Lucie, FL. Onsite amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, fitness center, pickleball courts, miles of wooded trails, park-like greenways and a large lakefront recreation area. Brystol at Wylder is just a short drive from major metro areas including Palm Beach County and Orlando. Access to I-95 and Florida's Turnpike make getting around simple.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Clubhouse
  • Pickleball courts

Tags

CLUBHOUSESWIMMING POOLFITNESS CENTERPICKLEBALL COURTSWOODED TRAILSPARK-LIKE GREENWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $360,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $472,700.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $361k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (12.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (23.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $278k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 1817 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 49d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $277,711 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59% ✗
Cap rate
3.57%
Cash-on-cash
-9.73%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
14.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$472,700
List price
$360,990
Delta
-26.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10850 NW Moon Rise Ln 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,429 (0%) 2mo $347,760 $243 90
10929 NW Everbreeze Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,429 (0%) 3mo $348,855 $244 87
10897 NW Everbreeze Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,429 (0%) 4mo $349,855 $245 87
5964 NW Sweetwood Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+2%) 4mo $352,000 $243 78
10307 NW Dreamweaver Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,593 (+12%) 0mo $350,000 $220 59
10067 NW Dreamweaver Rd 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 0mo $334,995 $213 57
10059 NW Dreamweaver Rd 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 0mo $349,995 $223 57
10075 NW Dreamweaver Rd 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 3mo $329,995 $210 55
10083 NW Dreamweaver Rd 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 3mo $324,995 $207 55
6173 NW Tuckaway Ave #169 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 1mo $349,995 $223 47
6172 NW Tuckaway Ave 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 3mo $354,995 $226 44
6204 NW Tuckaway Ave #172 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+10%) 3mo $370,000 $235 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.0%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-145,524
Equity at exit
$70,481
10-year hold
IRR
-44.0%
Equity multiple
-0.64×
Total profit
$-217,151
Equity at exit
$40,870

Cash invested: $132,356 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
31 active · 21 under contract
Months of supply
10.3 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$377,192 ($240/sqft)
Median days on market
124 d
This list price
23% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+37.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34987

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
1817
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,777 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,479
Tax est. 1.5%
−$591 /mo · $7,090/yr
Insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$583
Net cashflow
$-1,073

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,135
Max offer price $317,463
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-746 -5% $-909 +0% $-1,073 +5% $-1,236 +10% $-1,399
Rent -10% $-1,292 -5% $-1,183 +0% $-1,073 +5% $-963 +10% $-853
Rate -1.0pp $-835 -0.5pp $-953 base $-1,073 +0.5pp $-1,195 +1.0pp $-1,320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,175
Closing costs
$14,181
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10818 NW Moon Rise Ln Port St Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,400 $1.68 51d 1 0.15mi
5936 NW Mangrove Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,500 $1.37 164d 1 0.40mi
10940 NW Middle Stream Dr Unit 10940 Port St. Lucie, FL 4.0 2.5 1871 $3,000 $1.60 10d 1 0.42mi
11146 NW Fernbrook Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,450 $1.69 164d 1 0.43mi
10083 NW Dreamweaver Rd Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,850 $1.81 10d 1 0.44mi
10075 NW Dreamweaver Rd Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,850 $1.81 10d 1 0.44mi
6712 Cloverdale Ave #6712 Port St. Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1654 $2,700 $1.63 46d 1 0.85mi
10755 NW Wilgrove LN Unit 10755 St Lucie West, FL 3.0 2.0 1758 $3,200 $1.82 155d 1 1.35mi
10755 NW Wilgrove LN Unit 10755 St Lucie West, FL 3.0 2.0 1758 $2,400 $1.37 49d 1 1.35mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Listing status: Active
Financial info
List price $350,990

Exterior

Parking
2-car garage (2 total parking spaces)
Home design
Belmont planNew construction (Plan)
Construction
Living area approximately 1,429Built as part of the Belmont plan
Exterior features
Located on NW Suncrest Loop, Port Saint Lucie

Interior

Kitchen
Standard kitchen (features per Belmont plan)
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Open living area (plan home)
Laundry & utility
Laundry area (per plan)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $360,990 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-11-08
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-11-07
    days on market $347,990 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-11-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-11-06
    days on market $360,990 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-11-06
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-11-05
    days on market $347,990 Active 294 DOM
  8. 2026-11-02
    days on market $347,990 Active 293 DOM
  9. 2026-11-02
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 292 DOM
  10. 2026-11-01
    days on market $360,990 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-10-31
    days on market $360,990 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-10-30
    days on market $360,990 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-10-29
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-10-28
    days on market $347,990 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-10-27
    days on market $347,990 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-10-26
    days on market $347,990 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-10-26
    days on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-10-25
    days on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 291 DOM
  19. 2026-10-24
    days on market $347,990 Active 26 DOM
  20. 2026-10-23
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 25 DOM
  21. 2026-10-23
    days on market $360,990 Active 37 DOM
  22. 2026-10-22
    days on market $360,990 Active 36 DOM
  23. 2026-10-21
    days on market $360,990 Active 35 DOM
  24. 2026-10-20
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 34 DOM
  25. 2026-10-19
    days on market $347,990 Active 23 DOM
  26. 2026-10-18
    days on market $347,990 Active 22 DOM
  27. 2026-10-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 21 DOM
  28. 2026-10-17
    days on market $360,990 Active 33 DOM
  29. 2026-10-16
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 32 DOM
  30. 2026-10-16
    days on market $347,990 Active 288 DOM
  31. 2026-10-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 287 DOM
  32. 2026-10-15
    days on market $360,990 Active 32 DOM
  33. 2026-10-14
    days on market $360,990 Active 31 DOM
  34. 2026-10-13
    days on market $360,990 Active 30 DOM
  35. 2026-10-12
    days on market $360,990 Active 29 DOM
  36. 2026-10-11
    days on market $360,990 Active 28 DOM
  37. 2026-10-11
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 27 DOM
  38. 2026-10-10
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 19 DOM
  39. 2026-10-09
    days on market $360,990 Active 27 DOM
  40. 2026-10-08
    days on market $360,990 Active 26 DOM
  41. 2026-10-07
    days on market $360,990 Active 25 DOM
  42. 2026-10-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 24 DOM
  43. 2026-10-06
    days on market $347,990 Active 18 DOM
  44. 2026-10-05
    days on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 17 DOM
  45. 2026-10-05
    days on market $347,990 Active 280 DOM
  46. 2026-10-05
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 279 DOM
  47. 2026-10-04
    days on market $360,990 Active 24 DOM
  48. 2026-10-04
    pricedays on marketlisting id $360,990 Active 23 DOM
  49. 2026-10-03
    pricedays on marketlisting id $347,990 Active 278 DOM
  50. 2026-10-01
    days on market $360,990 Active 22 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,325
− Mortgage interest
−$26,479
− Property taxes
−$7,090
− Insurance
−$2,363
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,666
− Management
−$2,666
− Depreciation
−$13,751
Taxable loss
−$21,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,206
After-tax cash flow
$-7,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value-adding updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can modernize the kitchen and appeal to potential buyers. ↑
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to both buyers and tenants. ↑
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Updated flooring can make bathrooms more appealing and increase the home's resale value. ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Bayshore Elementary School D- FL #1,247/2,144 Nat'l #15,746/41,679 Middle Forest Grove Middle School F FL #388/571 Nat'l #6,571/14,009 High Fort Pierce Central High School F FL #441/667 Nat'l #10,947/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. Lucie, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 338,016 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,727
Household income
$90,201
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
23% of renters

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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