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2227 E 4th St
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

2227 E 4th St · Waterloo, IA 50703
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1919 1,288 sqft lot Est $75k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful old 2 story home with lots of charm. Main level offers kitchen with dining room, living room and 1/2 bath. 2nd level offers 4 bedrooms & 1 full bath. Exterior has large deck with handicapped accessible ramp and detached single garage.

Key facts

  • Large back deck
  • Privacy fencing
  • 1,288 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHMAIN-FLOOR BEDROOM SUITELARGE BACK DECKFULLY FENCED BACKYARDPRIVACY FENCINGSECLUDED OUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Concrete road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: No fireplace; Unfinished basement; Basement laundry on lower level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cunningham School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #601 of 616 statewide, top 98%, 376 students, 90% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Waterloo Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $79k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.94%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Boston Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,403 (+9%) 10mo $75,000 $53 67
126 Hope Avenue Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,185 (-8%) 6mo $56,000 $47 65
400 Charles St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (-8%) 9mo $90,000 $76 61
1326 Barclay St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,375 (+7%) 10mo $75,000 $55 60
940 Cutler St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+1%) 12mo $87,500 $67 58
546 Cutler St 0.29mi 4/1.0 1,424 (+11%) 12mo $110,000 $77 57
2811 E 4th St St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,189 (-8%) 3mo $82,000 $69 56
221 Center St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,291 (+0%) 6mo $38,000 $29 55
2846 E 4th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,259 (-2%) 11mo $72,500 $58 55
914 Lincoln St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,380 (+7%) 3mo $29,000 $21 54
1710 Logan Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,114 (-14%) 2mo $121,000 $109 49
413 Conger Street St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,149 (-11%) 4mo $65,000 $57 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$17,449
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.08×
Total profit
$68,239
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50703

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $894/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $660
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 Charles St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 916 $925 $1.01 44d 1 0.18mi
137 Hope Ave Waterloo, IA 5.0 1.5 1650 $1,550 $0.94 44d 1 0.21mi
401 Charles St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1276 $995 $0.78 44d 1 0.22mi
440 Cutler St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.5 1566 $1,200 $0.77 21d 1 0.30mi
203 Reed St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.5 1492 $1,200 $0.80 21d 1 0.51mi
824 Logan Ave Waterloo, IA 4.0 2.0 1572 $1,425 $0.91 21d 1 0.53mi
739 Sherman Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 875 $925 $1.06 44d 1 0.55mi
1125 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,100 $0.92 21d 1 0.58mi
214 Edwards St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1150 $825 $0.72 21d 1 0.70mi
405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA 2.0–3.0 1.0 880 $1,000 $1.14 21d 4 0.76mi
919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1144 $930 $0.81 44d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 686-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $79,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$894 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,067 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$173/yr (+$14/mo · 19.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,068
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$894
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,125
− Management
−$1,125
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$3,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$913
After-tax cash flow
$3,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
69,066
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,952
Household income
$50,060
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
871.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.18%
Current HPI
132.9478
Rent YoY
▲ 6.67%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $79,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2016-12-02 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2016-11-21 Listed $29,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $894 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…