2227 E 4th St · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful old 2 story home with lots of charm. Main level offers kitchen with dining room, living room and 1/2 bath. 2nd level offers 4 bedrooms & 1 full bath. Exterior has large deck with handicapped accessible ramp and detached single garage.
Key facts
- Large back deck
- Privacy fencing
- 1,288 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Concrete road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: No fireplace; Unfinished basement; Basement laundry on lower level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cunningham School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #601 of 616 statewide, top 98%, 376 students, 90% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Waterloo Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $79k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.94%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,704
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Boston Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,403 (+9%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $53 | 67 |
| 126 Hope Avenue Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,185 (-8%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $47 | 65 |
| 400 Charles St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-8%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $76 | 61 |
| 1326 Barclay St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,375 (+7%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 940 Cutler St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+1%) | 12mo | $87,500 | $67 | 58 |
| 546 Cutler St | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 | 1,424 (+11%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $77 | 57 |
| 2811 E 4th St St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,189 (-8%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $69 | 56 |
| 221 Center St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (+0%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $29 | 55 |
| 2846 E 4th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,259 (-2%) | 11mo | $72,500 | $58 | 55 |
| 914 Lincoln St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+7%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $21 | 54 |
| 1710 Logan Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,114 (-14%) | 2mo | $121,000 | $109 | 49 |
| 413 Conger Street St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-11%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $57 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $17,449
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $68,239
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50703
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $894/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $925 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 137 Hope Ave Waterloo, IA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,550 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 401 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $995 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 440 Cutler St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1566 | $1,200 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 203 Reed St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1492 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 824 Logan Ave Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,425 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 739 Sherman Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $925 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1125 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 214 Edwards St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 21d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $930 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 686-char remark
-
2026-06-13$79,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $894 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,067 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$173/yr (+$14/mo · 19.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$894
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$913
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,952
- Household income
- $50,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 871.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.18%
- Current HPI
- 132.9478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.67%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+172.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $79,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2016-12-02 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2016-11-21 Listed $29,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $894 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…