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1445 E 77 St
C Composite 57.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1445 E 77 St · Kansas City, MO 64131
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1956 7,572 sqft lot Est $157k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.

Key facts

  • 7,572 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (1.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.14%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,948
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1321 E 76th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (-7%) 1mo $210,000 $176 72
1137 E 76th Ter 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,334 (+4%) 3mo $170,000 $127 71
7620 Paseo Blvd 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,196 (-6%) 3mo $130,000 $109 70
1421 E 77th St 0.06mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,087 (-15%) 2mo $205,000 $189 64
1002 E 79th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,223 (-4%) 3mo $150,000 $123 61
8042 Brooklyn Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,261 (-1%) 4mo $100,000 $79 60
7336 Olive St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-3%) 3mo $77,000 $63 55
2205 E 77th Ter 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (-10%) 2mo $120,000 $104 54
7300 Tracy Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,186 (-7%) 3mo $175,000 $148 53
1116 E 77th Ter 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (+14%) 2mo $215,000 $147 51
8009 Park Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,154 (-10%) 4mo $114,000 $99 47
8241 Highland Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,126 (-12%) 0mo $99,000 $88 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-8,273
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$14,028
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64131

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,328 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,083
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $232 +0% $193 +5% $155 +10% $117
Rent -10% $89 -5% $141 +0% $193 +5% $246 +10% $298
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $228 base $193 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1830 E 78th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 13d 1 0.24mi
1836 E 77th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,150 $0.96 22d 1 0.25mi
1827 E 75th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1700 $1,595 $0.94 17d 1 0.30mi
7560 Prospect Ave Unit G Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 5d 1 0.58mi
7560 Prospect Ave Unit F Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 45d 1 0.60mi
8101 Campbell St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 820 $888 $1.08 3d 1 0.63mi
8150 Troost Ave Unit 53 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 1 0.65mi
2607 E 73rd St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1212 $1,050 $0.87 24d 1 0.83mi
822 E 72nd St Kansas City, MO 3.0 3.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 22d 1 0.83mi
320 E 79th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 45d 1 0.91mi
3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 985 $1,225 $1.24 22d 1 1.00mi
7240 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,350 $1.18 3d 1 1.02mi
8104 McGee St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 24d 1 1.07mi
7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,645 $1.50 24d 1 1.13mi
7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 1.16mi
7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,095 $1.00 15d 1 1.16mi
1831 E 68th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1043 $1,250 $1.20 17d 1 1.17mi
2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,200 $1.29 24d 1 1.18mi
7524 Baltimore Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 17d 1 1.23mi
119 W 79th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1312 $2,205 $1.68 3d 1 1.26mi
1805 E 67th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 17d 1 1.29mi
6653 Lydia Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 962 $1,500 $1.56 17d 1 1.32mi
1435 E 66th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 988 $1,340 $1.36 13d 1 1.34mi
2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,195 $1.24 45d 1 1.36mi
7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 24d 1 1.39mi
6720 Holmes Rd Kansas City, MO 3.0 3.0 1552 $2,695 $1.74 45d 1 1.42mi
8701 Chestnut Cir Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,115 $1.21 3d 15 1.43mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2025-12-18
    soldstatus
  2. 2025-11-15
    status Pending
  3. 2025-09-19
    price $135,000
  4. 2025-07-15
    listed $155,000 Active
  5. 2009-07-28
    soldstatus 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.

  6. 2009-05-12
    listed $31,500 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.

  7. 2008-04-23
    listed $65,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    * Great Ranch Starter Home with Large Room Sizes * Newer Kitchen and Appliances * Newer Bath * Sunroom Great for Entertaining * Newer Carpet and Fixtures * Huge Fenced Backyard * Move-in Ready *

  8. 2007-10-03
    soldstatus
  9. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus
  10. 2007-03-08
    listed $74,900
  11. 2006-10-31
    soldstatus
  12. 2004-09-15
    soldstatus
  13. 2003-02-04
    soldstatus
  14. 2002-09-16
    soldstatus
  15. 2002-09-13
    soldstatus
  16. 2002-08-16
    listed $35,000
  17. 1994-01-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,310 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$213/yr (+$18/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,934
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,096
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$30
After-tax cash flow
$2,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
21,942
Household income
$64,201
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1249.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.25%
Current HPI
340.8202
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-11-15 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-12 Listed $31,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-04-23 Listed $65,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-08 Listed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-09-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-02-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-09-16 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-16 Listed $35,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,096 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…