1445 E 77 St · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.
Key facts
- 7,572 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.14%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,948
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1321 E 76th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,192 (-7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $176 | 72 |
| 1137 E 76th Ter | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,334 (+4%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 7620 Paseo Blvd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-6%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $109 | 70 |
| 1421 E 77th St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,087 (-15%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $189 | 64 |
| 1002 E 79th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (-4%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 8042 Brooklyn Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,261 (-1%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $79 | 60 |
| 7336 Olive St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-3%) | 3mo | $77,000 | $63 | 55 |
| 2205 E 77th Ter | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,154 (-10%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 7300 Tracy Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,186 (-7%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $148 | 53 |
| 1116 E 77th Ter | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+14%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 8009 Park Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,154 (-10%) | 4mo | $114,000 | $99 | 47 |
| 8241 Highland Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (-12%) | 0mo | $99,000 | $88 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-8,273
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,028
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64131
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $232 | +0% $193 | +5% $155 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $141 | +0% $193 | +5% $246 | +10% $298 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $228 | base $193 | +0.5pp $158 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1830 E 78th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1836 E 77th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1827 E 75th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,595 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7560 Prospect Ave Unit G Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7560 Prospect Ave Unit F Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8101 Campbell St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $888 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8150 Troost Ave Unit 53 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2607 E 73rd St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,050 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 822 E 72nd St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 320 E 79th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,225 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7240 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8104 McGee St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1831 E 68th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7524 Baltimore Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 119 W 79th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,205 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1805 E 67th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6653 Lydia Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1435 E 66th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,340 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6720 Holmes Rd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1552 | $2,695 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8701 Chestnut Cir Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,115 | $1.21 | 3d | 15 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2025-12-18soldstatus
-
2025-11-15status Pending
-
2025-09-19price $135,000
-
2025-07-15$155,000 Active
-
2009-07-28soldstatus 669-char remark
Show marketing remark (669 chars)
This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.
-
2009-05-12$31,500 669-char remark
Show marketing remark (669 chars)
This home is owned by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). This HUD home is sold "as-is" / "where-is" with any and all faults. Agents must be registered with HUD for the bidding process. Call listing office to bid your price on this house. Buyer must have a mortgage commitment or cash. This home is case number:291-357671 BUYERS AGENTS: Bids can get cancelled or contracts rejected, check www. bidselect. comDAILY for status of home. When showing this house HUD needs you to sign the log in sheet at the house. Please lock the doors when done showing. Read Showing Agent Information for all needed details and links.
-
2008-04-23$65,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
* Great Ranch Starter Home with Large Room Sizes * Newer Kitchen and Appliances * Newer Bath * Sunroom Great for Entertaining * Newer Carpet and Fixtures * Huge Fenced Backyard * Move-in Ready *
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2007-10-03soldstatus
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2007-09-28soldstatus
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2007-03-08$74,900
-
2006-10-31soldstatus
-
2004-09-15soldstatus
-
2003-02-04soldstatus
-
2002-09-16soldstatus
-
2002-09-13soldstatus
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2002-08-16$35,000
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1994-01-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 19.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,096
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,275
- − Management
- −$1,275
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$30
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,942
- Household income
- $64,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1249.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.25%
- Current HPI
- 340.8202
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+285.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Listed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-12 Listed $31,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-23 Listed $65,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-08 Listed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-09-16 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-08-16 Listed $35,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,096 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…