310 1st St · Ypsilanti, ND
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Electrical panel
- 9,749 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one half stories; Stucco exterior
- Construction: Stucco construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Level lot; See remarks for additional lot details
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan cooling; Other cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Unfinished concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 44/100 on livability (#364 in ND) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jamestown 1 (town): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #14 of 53 in ND (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jamestown High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 777 students, 21% FRL).
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Stutsman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Stutsman County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $85k implies a 1787% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.92%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $32,812
- Equity at exit
- $38,175
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $85,099
- Equity at exit
- $58,832
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58497
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $445/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-16status $84,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03$84,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $445 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 86.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,257
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$445
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $3,040
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$730
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800021
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,557
- Composite
- 41.38/100
- National rank
- #3487
- State rank
- #14 of 53 in ND
Livability — Ypsilanti
- Score
- 44/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #26730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ypsilanti, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 220
Population outlook (Stutsman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,104 people
- By 2030
- 21,292 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 21,485 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 21,960 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 25,753 · +22.0%
- By 2100
- 29,779 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Stutsman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.6) · D 26.7% · R 71.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -44.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+1786.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $84,900 GNMLS
- 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $4,500 Public Records
- 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $445 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…