CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4706 Brandon Ct
D Composite 42.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,999

4706 Brandon Ct · Fayetteville, NC 28311
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1972 0.50 ac lot Est $182k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.

Key facts

  • Extra backyard shed
  • Insulated windows
  • Carport storage room

Tags

PRIVATE FULL BATHGRANITE COUNTERTOPINSULATED WINDOWSCARPORT STORAGE ROOMEXTRA BACKYARD SHEDFULLY FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($22/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Spring Lake Middle (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 512 students, 99% FRL); E E Smith High (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,004 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,524 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.04%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,632
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
873 Kaywood Dr 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,088 (+3%) 14mo $169,500 $156 80
725 Mosswood Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,105 (+5%) 2mo $210,000 $190 74
674 Walker St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+3%) 14mo $180,000 $165 71
595 Sheringham Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,149 (+9%) 4mo $200,000 $174 69
5055 Hampshire Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,057 (+0%) 11mo $192,000 $182 65
707 Zircon Ct 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,099 (+4%) 14mo $175,000 $159 65
683 Dowfield Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,066 (+1%) 3mo $175,999 $165 63
506 Shoreline Dr 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,040 (-2%) 2mo $205,000 $197 61
319 Nugget Ct 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,132 (+7%) 2mo $195,000 $172 59
698 Dowfield Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,111 (+5%) 3mo $128,000 $115 58
5075 Chesapeake Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,110 (+5%) 8mo $203,000 $183 57
735 Amber Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,184 (+12%) 13mo $160,000 $135 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-28,517
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-25,809
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28311

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
360
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,465 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,463
Max offer price $174,999
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $101 -5% $51 +0% $2 +5% $-48 +10% $-97
Rent -10% $-114 -5% $-56 +0% $2 +5% $60 +10% $118
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $46 base $2 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
790 Arthington St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,350 $1.35 24d 1 0.12mi
2523 Mulranny Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,589 $1.43 14d 9 0.18mi
4736 Rosehill Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,240 $1.24 24d 1 0.33mi
1003 Madiera Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 950 $1,275 $1.34 24d 1 0.36mi
2641 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,400 $0.97 21d 1 0.40mi
2641 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 24d 1 0.40mi
2641 McArthur Landing Cir #102 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,375 $0.98 24d 1 0.40mi
2500 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1226 $1,420 $1.16 14d 13 0.41mi
909 Southview Cir Unit B Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 923 $945 $1.02 24d 1 0.49mi
318 Nugget Ct Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.0 1425 $1,650 $1.16 14d 1 0.55mi
3963 Loufield Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.73mi
5327 Chesapeake Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 14d 1 0.74mi
319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0–2.5 1080 $1,340 $1.24 14d 9 0.85mi
319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0–2.5 1080 $1,350 $1.25 24d 3 0.85mi
4202 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $930 $1.16 24d 1 0.85mi
4206 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 24d 1 0.86mi
417 Nottingham Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,400 $1.37 24d 1 1.03mi
4310 Coolidge St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1212 $1,250 $1.03 14d 1 1.04mi
4453 Oakmont Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 1.07mi
848 Tamarack Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 705 $1,171 $1.66 14d 49 1.09mi
258 Kenwood Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1491 $2,325 $1.56 14d 1 1.18mi
3613 Pine Lake Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $1,645 $1.47 14d 31 1.29mi
3523 Rosehill Rd Fayetteville, NC 4.0 1.0 1448 $1,450 $1.00 14d 1 1.31mi
362 Bubble Creek Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 24d 1 1.36mi
5418 Hampton Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 24d 1 1.36mi
380 Bubble Creek Ct #8 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,300 $0.88 24d 1 1.39mi
342 Bubble Creek Ct #1 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 14d 1 1.40mi
226 Tallstone Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 920 $1,339 $1.46 14d 16 1.43mi
330 Bubble Creek Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,600 $1.14 24d 1 1.44mi
206 Villa Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 988 $1,250 $1.27 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2025-03-20
    soldstatus $177,000
  2. 2025-02-12
    historical $1,425
  3. 2025-02-10
    status Pending
  4. 2025-02-07
    listed $174,999 Active
  5. 2025-01-07
    listed $1,425
  6. 2024-03-10
    historical $1,400
  7. 2024-02-20
    listed $1,400
  8. 2024-02-08
    historical $1,400
  9. 2023-12-30
    listed $1,400
  10. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $152,750 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.

  11. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $152,750 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.

  12. 2022-02-01
    listed $144,900 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.

  13. 2022-02-01
    listed $144,900 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.

  14. 2021-11-16
    soldstatus $65,000
  15. 2021-11-16
    soldstatus $80,000
  16. 2021-09-15
    listed $86,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,981 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,981 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,583
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,981
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,407
− Management
−$1,407
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$715
After-tax cash flow
$737/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
36,629
Household income
$62,170
Rent vs Own
47.5% rent · 52.5% own
Severe rent burden
1645.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.88%
Current HPI
203.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+103.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2025-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
  • 2025-02-12 Rental Removed $1,425 TMLS
  • 2025-02-10 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-02-07 Listed $174,999 LPRMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,425 TMLS
  • 2024-03-10 Rental Removed $1,400 TMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Listed for Rent $1,400 TMLS
  • 2024-02-08 Rental Removed $1,400 LPRMLS
  • 2023-12-30 Listed for Rent $1,400 LPRMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $152,750 LPRMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $152,750 TMLS
  • 2022-02-01 Listed $144,900 LPRMLS
  • 2022-02-01 Listed $144,900 TMLS
  • 2021-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) $65,000 LPRMLS
  • 2021-09-15 Listed $86,900 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,981 · +53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…