4706 Brandon Ct · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.
Key facts
- Extra backyard shed
- Insulated windows
- Carport storage room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($22/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spring Lake Middle (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 512 students, 99% FRL); E E Smith High (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,004 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,632
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 873 Kaywood Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,088 (+3%) | 14mo | $169,500 | $156 | 80 |
| 725 Mosswood Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,105 (+5%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $190 | 74 |
| 674 Walker St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+3%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $165 | 71 |
| 595 Sheringham Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,149 (+9%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $174 | 69 |
| 5055 Hampshire Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (+0%) | 11mo | $192,000 | $182 | 65 |
| 707 Zircon Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,099 (+4%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $159 | 65 |
| 683 Dowfield Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,066 (+1%) | 3mo | $175,999 | $165 | 63 |
| 506 Shoreline Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,040 (-2%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $197 | 61 |
| 319 Nugget Ct | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,132 (+7%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $172 | 59 |
| 698 Dowfield Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,111 (+5%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 5075 Chesapeake Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,110 (+5%) | 8mo | $203,000 | $183 | 57 |
| 735 Amber Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+12%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $135 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-28,517
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-25,809
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28311
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $101 | -5% $51 | +0% $2 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-114 | -5% $-56 | +0% $2 | +5% $60 | +10% $118 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $46 | base $2 | +0.5pp $-44 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 790 Arthington St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2523 Mulranny Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,589 | $1.43 | 14d | 9 | 0.18mi |
| 4736 Rosehill Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,240 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1003 Madiera Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,275 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2641 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2641 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2641 McArthur Landing Cir #102 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,375 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2500 McArthur Landing Cir Fayetteville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,420 | $1.16 | 14d | 13 | 0.41mi |
| 909 Southview Cir Unit B Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 923 | $945 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 318 Nugget Ct Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3963 Loufield Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5327 Chesapeake Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1080 | $1,340 | $1.24 | 14d | 9 | 0.85mi |
| 319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 24d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 4202 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $930 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4206 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 417 Nottingham Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4310 Coolidge St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4453 Oakmont Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 848 Tamarack Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,171 | $1.66 | 14d | 49 | 1.09mi |
| 258 Kenwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $2,325 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3613 Pine Lake Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $1,645 | $1.47 | 14d | 31 | 1.29mi |
| 3523 Rosehill Rd Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 362 Bubble Creek Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5418 Hampton Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 380 Bubble Creek Ct #8 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,300 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 342 Bubble Creek Ct #1 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 226 Tallstone Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $1,339 | $1.46 | 14d | 16 | 1.43mi |
| 330 Bubble Creek Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 206 Villa Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2025-03-20soldstatus $177,000
-
2025-02-12historical $1,425
-
2025-02-10status Pending
-
2025-02-07$174,999 Active
-
2025-01-07$1,425
-
2024-03-10historical $1,400
-
2024-02-20$1,400
-
2024-02-08historical $1,400
-
2023-12-30$1,400
-
2022-03-11soldstatus $152,750 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.
-
2022-03-11soldstatus $152,750 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.
-
2022-02-01$144,900 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.
-
2022-02-01$144,900 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Let's all go to Brandon Court and check out this amazing renovation with a half acre of land. Ranch style home with 3 bedroom and 2 full bath home. Fresh paint inside and out with new insulated windows. Lovely new laminate flooring flowing from living area to kitchen throughout all bedrooms. Great space in living area open to dining area with room for kitchen table. New white soft close cabinets with elegant crown molding. Kitchens other upgrades include new granite countertops, new subway tiled backsplash and new stainless steel appliance package. Master bedroom with private full bath with new flooring, new vanity, new shower surround. Full hall guest bath new flooring, new vanity with granite countertop. New insulated windows. Carport with storage room. Extra shed in backyard for storage.
-
2021-11-16soldstatus $65,000
-
2021-11-16soldstatus $80,000
-
2021-09-15$86,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,981 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,981 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,981
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,407
- − Management
- −$1,407
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,980
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$715
- After-tax cash flow
- $737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,629
- Household income
- $62,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1645.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.88%
- Current HPI
- 203.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+103.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2025-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-12 Rental Removed $1,425 TMLS
- 2025-02-10 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-02-07 Listed $174,999 LPRMLS
- 2025-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,425 TMLS
- 2024-03-10 Rental Removed $1,400 TMLS
- 2024-02-20 Listed for Rent $1,400 TMLS
- 2024-02-08 Rental Removed $1,400 LPRMLS
- 2023-12-30 Listed for Rent $1,400 LPRMLS
- 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $152,750 LPRMLS
- 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $152,750 TMLS
- 2022-02-01 Listed $144,900 LPRMLS
- 2022-02-01 Listed $144,900 TMLS
- 2021-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2021-09-15 Listed $86,900 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,981 · +53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…