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307 Rockhill Cir
A Composite 85.93
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$93,000

307 Rockhill Cir · Abbeville, AL 36310
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1940 0.89 ac lot $64/sqft · 20% below area Est $116k · 20% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

307 Rockhill Cir, Abbeville AL Move-in ready & full of potential?? This charming, move-in ready home sits on a spacious 0.89-acre lot right inside of the city limits of Abbeville. With 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a welcoming 1,456 layout, this property is perfect for first time home buyers, downsizers or anyone . Enjoy a peaceful setting in a quiet neighborhood while still being close to shops, and restaurants. Key Features Include: ?? Well-Maintained Interrior ?? Large Yard With Plenty of Possibilities ?? Inside of The City Limits ?? Minutes From Local Conveniences ?? New Roof Installed April 2025 ?? New HVAC installed 2024 Home Is Being Sold As Is. By owner

Key facts

  • New hvac installed
  • New roof installed
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

SPACIOUS 0.89-ACRE LOTQUIET NEIGHBORHOODINSIDE OF THE CITY LIMITSNEW ROOF INSTALLEDNEW HVAC INSTALLED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#180 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($643 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
15.04%
Cash-on-cash
31.23%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,575
List price
$93,000
Delta
-19.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Weeping Willow Rd 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,380 (-5%) 22mo $110,000 $80 35
204 Catherine Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,275 (-12%) 16mo $105,000 $82 34
205 East Washington St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+11%) 22mo $115,000 $71 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$93,782
Equity at exit
$83,782
10-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
10.30×
Total profit
$242,170
Equity at exit
$180,679

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36310

Home prices YoY
19.7%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,560 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $336/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,000 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $93,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-01-17
    listed $93,000 Active 679-char remark
    Show marketing remark (679 chars)

    307 Rockhill Cir, Abbeville AL Move-in ready & full of potential?? This charming, move-in ready home sits on a spacious 0.89-acre lot right inside of the city limits of Abbeville. With 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a welcoming 1,456 layout, this property is perfect for first time home buyers, downsizers or anyone . Enjoy a peaceful setting in a quiet neighborhood while still being close to shops, and restaurants. Key Features Include: ?? Well-Maintained Interrior ?? Large Yard With Plenty of Possibilities ?? Inside of The City Limits ?? Minutes From Local Conveniences ?? New Roof Installed April 2025 ?? New HVAC installed 2024 Home Is Being Sold As Is. By owner

  7. 2025-09-01
    status Pending
  8. 2025-08-02
    price $105,000
  9. 2025-06-17
    price $115,000
  10. 2025-04-13
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$336 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$381 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$45/yr (+$4/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,716
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$336
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,497
− Management
−$1,497
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$7,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,681
After-tax cash flow
$6,451/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Abbeville

Score
63/100
State rank
#180
US rank
#15180

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abbeville, AL
Population (ZIP)
6,224

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 39.85%
Current HPI
241.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $93,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-09-01 Pending SAMLS
  • 2025-08-02 Price Changed $105,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $115,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-04-13 Listed $120,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2017): $336 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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