3103 Naylor Rd SE #101 · Washington, DC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
Key facts
- Dishwasher
- Updated kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager present; Building name: RANDLE HEIGHTS
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $444.70; Association professionally managed off-site; Condo fee covers gas, management, insurance, reserves, trash and water; Common grounds; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned off-street parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas for hot water
- Home design: Condominium unit/flat; Garden-style building (1–4 stories); Entry on level 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Sliding windows; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Wall unit heating; Wall unit cooling; Electric heating and cooling; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Galley kitchen; Dining area; Traditional floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit; Washer/dryer hookup in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.03%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $7,484
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $34,830
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20020
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$444
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,325 | $1.73 | 24d | 2 | 0.01mi |
| 3105 Naylor Rd SE #104 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3105 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3107 Naylor Rd SE #301 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3109 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $1,904 | $2.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2847 Gainesville St SE Unit B2 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,700 | $2.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3001 Branch Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 769 | $1,678 | $2.18 | 1d | 43 | 0.25mi |
| 2627 Jasper St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 838 | $1,297 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2482 Alabama Ave SE Unit 302 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2603 Southern Ave SE Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,125 | $1.74 | 1d | 7 | 0.44mi |
| 3103 Good Hope Ave Hillcrest Heights, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $1,898 | $2.23 | 2d | 12 | 0.49mi |
| 2439 25th St SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,293 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2219 Town Center Dr SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $2,045 | $3.06 | 5d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| 2607 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,275 | $1.92 | 8d | 4 | 0.78mi |
| 2562 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,535 | $1.94 | 3d | 21 | 0.86mi |
| 3416 Curtis Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 779 | $1,306 | $1.68 | 2d | 25 | 0.88mi |
| 2017 37th St SE #301 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,895 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2057 38th St SE #301 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,700 | $2.72 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3901 Suitland Rd Suitland, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,335 | $1.64 | 3d | 10 | 0.94mi |
| 1720 Trenton Pl SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,175 | $1.96 | 2d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 2300 Good Hope Rd SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,458 | $1.43 | 24d | 6 | 0.97mi |
| 1717 Alabama Ave SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,225 | $2.04 | 3d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 3808 W St SE #101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $2,200 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3812 W St SE #101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $1,800 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3811 V St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $1,595 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2107 Fort Davis St SE #301 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,700 | $2.74 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1907 Good Hope Ct SE #309 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,595 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1907 Good Hope Ct SE #7 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 578 | $1,500 | $2.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2114 Suitland Ter SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,800 | $2.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2341 Green St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,225 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2115 Suitland Ter SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,695 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3930 Suitland Rd Suitland, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,240 | $1.61 | 2d | 29 | 1.10mi |
| 2001 Fort Davis St SE #202 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 614 | $1,650 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1721 29th St SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,395 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3923 Pennsylvania Ave SE #301 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,850 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2801 R St SE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,569 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2515 R St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,585 | $1.95 | 5d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 1847 Marion Barry Ave SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3956 Pennsylvania Ave SE #203 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $1,600 | $2.52 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2419 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | — | 1.0 | 580 | $1,250 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $444 · $5,328/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $67,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $67,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$67,000 Active
-
2016-09-12soldstatus $60,000
-
2016-09-09soldstatus $60,000 Sold 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-09-09soldstatus $60,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-06-14price $60,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-05-26status Contingent (No Kick Out) 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-05-23price $69,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-05-18price $64,999 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2016-04-13$74,999 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
One bedroom in great condition. Washer dryer in unit. Parking comes with unit. Great closet space. Granite, Stainless, tile.
-
2014-10-01historical
-
2014-10-01historical Expired
-
2014-05-19Active
-
2014-05-19$99,786
-
2011-02-18historical Withdrawn
-
2011-02-18historical
-
2010-09-03soldstatus $126,078
-
2010-08-16price
-
2010-07-20Active
-
2010-07-19$47,000
-
2007-03-07soldstatus $144,097
-
2006-12-30historical
-
2006-12-05$139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,212
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$1,132
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − HOA
- −$5,328
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $2,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,005
- Household income
- $54,032
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5148.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -415.44%
- Current HPI
- 306.5068
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-52.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-09-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRIS
- 2016-06-14 Price Changed $60,000 MRIS
- 2016-05-26 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-05-23 Price Changed $69,000 MRIS
- 2016-05-18 Price Changed $64,999 MRIS
- 2016-04-13 Listed $74,999 MRIS
- 2014-10-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-10-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-05-19 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-05-19 Listed $99,786 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-02-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-02-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $126,078 Public Records
- 2010-08-16 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2010-07-20 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-07-19 Listed $47,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-03-07 Sold (MLS) $144,097 MRIS
- 2006-12-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-12-05 Listed $139,900 MRIS
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…