5917 Harney Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
Key facts
- 3,123 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 608 (public records)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Electric service (other)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-out unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Herzog Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 247 students, 99% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $50k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.23%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,952
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5760 Acme Ave | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 624 (+3%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $24 | 61 |
| 6062 Thekla | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 640 (+5%) | 15mo | $36,000 | $56 | 59 |
| 6342 Lena Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 678 (+12%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $59 | 55 |
| 6340 Lena Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+7%) | 22mo | $64,900 | $100 | 46 |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 580 (-5%) | 18mo | $39,900 | $69 | 44 |
| 5314 Hamilton Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (+9%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $91 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $39,977
- Equity at exit
- $24,739
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $100,965
- Equity at exit
- $39,983
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $968 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $147/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4935 Alcott Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $705 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8612 Halls Ferry Rd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $775 | $1.24 | 4d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1131 Canaan Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $900 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4908 W Florissant Ave Apt A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $695 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$50,000 Active
-
2024-05-20soldstatus $30,000
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2024-05-16soldstatus Closed 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-05-06status Pending 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-04-01price $37,000 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-03-24status Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-03-20historical Active Under Contract 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-02-29$39,905 Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
-
2024-02-26historical $39,905 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET....NO FAULT OF SELLER – buyer did not perform Attn Investors!!! BETTER MOVE FAST AS THIS HOME WILL NOT LAST LONG!!! This would make a nice addition to a rental portfolio. Long term tenant. Positive income. 2 bed and 1 bath home!!! DO NOT DESTURB TENANT !!! Newer roof. Seller has never occupied the property. It has been a managed rental property. Seller to do no repairs. currently rented for $750. This property could be sold separately or as a package deal more to be added soon.:24010102,24010078,24010102, 24010078,24011248 24011248,24011154 and 24011308 a duplex.
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2006-04-11soldstatus $61,000
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2005-07-21soldstatus $46,000
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2001-01-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $147 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $485 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 230.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$147
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$929
- − Management
- −$929
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,104
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+8.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-16 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-01 Price Changed $37,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-24 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-20 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-29 Listed $39,905 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-26 Coming Soon $39,905 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $147 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…