6351 Akers Rd #74 · Bakersfield, CA 93313

$155,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 79 Days on market

Built 2004 $99/sqft · 33% above area Est $117k · 33% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to El Adobe Estates, a lovely southwest Manufactured/Mobile Home Park Community with no age restrictions! This spacious 1,568 sq ft manufactured home offers one of the rare gas fireplaces in the entire park a cozy centerpiece that makes this home truly stand out. Built in 2004, this 3-bedroom, 1.75-bath home features a large great room perfect for entertaining, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with a breakfast bar. The split-wing floor plan provides privacy between the primary suite and the secondary bedrooms. Enjoy the convenience of an indoor laundry room, a covered 2-car carport, a 10x10 storage shed, and care-free low-maintenance landscaping with charming curb appeal. Located close to shopping, dining, and neighborhood park, this home offers the comfort and affordability you've been looking for. Space rent applies buyerto qualify with park management. Don't miss your chance to own a great Manufactured Home in El Adobe Estates!

Key facts

• Gas fireplaces
• Charming curb appeal
• Covered carport

Tags

• GAS FIREPLACES
• INDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM
• COVERED CARPORT
• STORAGE SHED
• LOW-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPING
• CHARMING CURB APPEAL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $885 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
• Panama-Buena Vista Union (urban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #542 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $57k; list at $155k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.46%
• DSCR: 2.09
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $116,694
• List price: $155,000
• Delta: 32.83%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6351 Akers Rd #48	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,554 (-1%)	1mo	$160,000	$103	96
6351 Akers Rd #10	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,650 (+5%)	10mo	$170,000	$103	82
6351 Akers Rd #87	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,440 (-8%)	8mo	$105,000	$73	80
6351 Akers Rd #95	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,456 (-7%)	11mo	$130,000	$89	79
6351 Akers Rd #101	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,456 (-7%)	13mo	$137,000	$94	77
6351 Akers Rd #17	0.00mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,456 (-7%)	11mo	$150,000	$103	74
6351 Akers Rd #70	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,456 (-7%)	24mo	$115,000	$79	68
6351 Akers Rd #113	0.00mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,344 (-14%)	24mo	$112,800	$84	51
5201 Silver Springs Ln	0.72mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,440 (-8%)	12mo	$263,000	$183	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.67×
• Total profit: $29,157
• Equity at exit: $23,111

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.06×
• Total profit: $89,592
• Equity at exit: $13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 93313

• Home prices YoY: -20.4%
• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 271
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,304 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$813
• Tax from tax record: −$58 /mo · $697/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$484
• Net cashflow: $885

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,184

Max offer price $155,000

Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $972	-5% $929	+0% $885	+5% $841	+10% $797
Rent	-10% $703	-5% $794	+0% $885	+5% $976	+10% $1,067
Rate	-1.0pp $963	-0.5pp $924	base $885	+0.5pp $845	+1.0pp $804

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,750
• Closing costs: $4,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 32 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4212 Cyclone Dr Bakersfield, CA	4.0	2.0	1471	$2,275	$1.55	3d	1	0.21mi
4508 Blossom Valley Ln Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1107	$1,850	$1.67	22d	1	0.26mi
3921 White Sands Dr Bakersfield, CA	4.0	2.0	1798	$2,550	$1.42	3d	1	0.44mi
6401 Castleford St Unit C Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1125	$1,500	$1.33	19d	1	0.44mi
6302 Castleford St Unit 4 Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1144	$1,500	$1.31	3d	1	0.47mi
6304 Castleford St Unit 4 Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1144	$1,500	$1.31	44d	1	0.48mi
5012 Greenville Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1500	$2,200	$1.47	44d	1	0.52mi
4012 Island Mist Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1436	$2,300	$1.60	3d	1	0.54mi
3316 Fiesta Ave Bakersfield, CA	3.0	3.0	1700	$2,300	$1.35	44d	1	0.59mi
5201 Gasol Ct Unit F204 Bakersfield, CA	2.0	2.0	1166	$1,995	$1.71	24d	1	0.61mi
5201 Gasol Ct Apt C103 Bakersfield, CA	2.0	2.0	1166	$1,995	$1.71	44d	1	0.61mi
5201 Gasol Ct Unit V102 Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1429	$2,050	$1.43	22d	1	0.61mi
5201 Gasol Ct Unit N107 Bakersfield, CA	2.0	2.0	1166	$1,995	$1.71	3d	1	0.61mi
5115 Snowdrift Ct Bakersfield, CA	4.0	2.0	1930	$2,700	$1.40	11d	1	0.65mi
6600 Jerno Dr Bakersfield, CA	2.0–3.0	2.0	1104	$2,225	$2.02	3d	1	0.66mi
5106 Glacier Canyon Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	2140	$2,700	$1.26	44d	1	0.69mi
5106 Glacier Canyon Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	2140	$2,800	$1.31	3d	1	0.69mi
6104 Summer Springs Dr Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1396	$2,200	$1.58	44d	1	0.89mi
6409 Easter Lily Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1903	$2,695	$1.42	44d	1	1.06mi
2922 Paradise Point Pl Bakersfield, CA	4.0	3.0	2079	$2,650	$1.27	3d	1	1.09mi
2625 Miria Dr Bakersfield, CA	3.0	1.0	1308	$1,850	$1.41	24d	1	1.19mi
5615 Sugar Pine Dr Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1546	$2,195	$1.42	3d	1	1.22mi
4309 Rosewall St Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1356	$2,200	$1.62	3d	1	1.31mi
8203 Libby Ct Bakersfield, CA	4.0	2.0	1715	$2,400	$1.40	22d	1	1.31mi
8208 Miller Ridge Dr Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.0	1412	$1,350	$0.96	3d	1	1.32mi
8501 Tamworth St Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1796	$2,795	$1.56	15d	1	1.40mi
4413 White Ln Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1249	$2,250	$1.80	22d	1	1.41mi
3605 Biltmore Ln Bakersfield, CA	2.0	2.0	1450	$1,650	$1.14	3d	1	1.44mi
6615 Silver Moon Dr Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,050	$1.41	44d	1	1.45mi
4208 White Ln Apt B Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,575	$1.31	11d	1	1.46mi
4208 White Ln Unit A Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,575	$1.31	3d	1	1.46mi
5421 Tejon Ridge Ct Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.5	1759	$2,400	$1.36	3d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 29 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $155,000 Active 79 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $155,000 Active 78 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $155,000 Active 77 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $155,000 Active 76 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $155,000 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $155,000 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $155,000 Active 71 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $155,000 Active 70 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $155,000 Active 69 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 68 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 65 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 64 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 63 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 62 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
16. 2026-03-31
    listed $159,900 Active 968-char remark

    Show marketing remark (968 chars)

    Welcome to El Adobe Estates, a lovely southwest Manufactured/Mobile Home Park Community with no age restrictions! This spacious 1,568 sq ft manufactured home offers one of the rare gas fireplaces in the entire park a cozy centerpiece that makes this home truly stand out. Built in 2004, this 3-bedroom, 1.75-bath home features a large great room perfect for entertaining, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with a breakfast bar. The split-wing floor plan provides privacy between the primary suite and the secondary bedrooms. Enjoy the convenience of an indoor laundry room, a covered 2-car carport, a 10x10 storage shed, and care-free low-maintenance landscaping with charming curb appeal. Located close to shopping, dining, and neighborhood park, this home offers the comfort and affordability you've been looking for. Space rent applies buyerto qualify with park management. Don't miss your chance to own a great Manufactured Home in El Adobe Estates!

17. 2016-04-21
    price $56,900 256-char remark

    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Very nice Manufactured home in immaculate condition in El Adobe Estates. This home features Great Room with Gas fireplace, and formal dining room. Three bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and indoor laundry room. Very nice 10x10 shed in backyard. Care free landscaping.

18. 2016-04-20
    soldstatus $56,900 Sold 256-char remark

    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Very nice Manufactured home in immaculate condition in El Adobe Estates. This home features Great Room with Gas fireplace, and formal dining room. Three bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and indoor laundry room. Very nice 10x10 shed in backyard. Care free landscaping.

19. 2016-03-22
    historical 256-char remark

    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Very nice Manufactured home in immaculate condition in El Adobe Estates. This home features Great Room with Gas fireplace, and formal dining room. Three bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and indoor laundry room. Very nice 10x10 shed in backyard. Care free landscaping.

20. 2016-03-21
    price $59,900 256-char remark

    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Very nice Manufactured home in immaculate condition in El Adobe Estates. This home features Great Room with Gas fireplace, and formal dining room. Three bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and indoor laundry room. Very nice 10x10 shed in backyard. Care free landscaping.

21. 2015-12-21
    listed $59,900 Active 256-char remark

    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Very nice Manufactured home in immaculate condition in El Adobe Estates. This home features Great Room with Gas fireplace, and formal dining room. Three bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and indoor laundry room. Very nice 10x10 shed in backyard. Care free landscaping.

22. 2008-04-03
    soldstatus $82,950
23. 2008-02-23
    price $84,950
24. 2008-02-23
    historical
25. 2007-11-27
    listed $82,950
26. 2000-03-15
    soldstatus $19,500
27. 2000-02-28
    historical
28. 2000-02-28
    price $20,900
29. 1999-10-04
    listed $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $697 · $58/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,178 · $98/mo
• Expected delta: +$481/yr (+$40/mo · 69.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,648
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,682
• − Property taxes: −$697
• − Insurance: −$775
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,212
• − Management: −$2,212
• − Depreciation: −$4,509
• Taxable income: $8,561
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,055
• After-tax cash flow: $8,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Panama-Buena Vista Union
• NCES district ID: 0606390
• Math proficiency: 37% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $63,361
• Composite: 41.71/100
• National rank: #7191
• State rank: #542 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bakersfield

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #716
• US rank: #21355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bakersfield, CA
• County: Kern County · 710,371 people
• City population: 499,124
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• Population (ZIP): 61,843
• Household income: $91,943
• Rent vs Own: 21.4% rent · 78.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1177.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 947,286 people
• By 2030: 978,984 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 1,045,018 · +10.3%
• By 2050: 1,105,232 · +16.7%
• By 2075: 1,229,538 · +29.8%
• By 2100: 1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 28% White 22% Asian 13% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 52%
• Common ancestry: British 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 45% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -85.95%
• Current HPI: 335.9445
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.12%
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+720.0% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Listed $159,900 GEMLS
• 2016-04-21 Price Changed $56,900 GEMLS
• 2016-04-20 Sold (MLS) $56,900 GEMLS
• 2016-03-22 Delisted — GEMLS
• 2016-03-21 Price Changed $59,900 GEMLS
• 2015-12-21 Listed $59,900 GEMLS
• 2008-04-03 Sold (MLS) $82,950 GEMLS
• 2008-02-23 Delisted — GEMLS
• 2008-02-23 Price Changed $84,950 GEMLS
• 2007-11-27 Listed $82,950 GEMLS
• 2000-03-15 Sold (MLS) $19,500 GEMLS
• 2000-02-28 Price Changed $20,900 GEMLS
• 2000-02-28 Delisted — GEMLS
• 1999-10-04 Listed $19,500 GEMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $697 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.