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820 Robert St
D Composite 42.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,000

820 Robert St · Grandview Plaza, KS 66441
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 184 Days on market
Built 1983 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover a gem at 820 Robert Street in Junction City! This spacious manufactured home offers an affordable opportunity for buyers seeking room to grow and the chance to make a home their own. Located in Grand Plaza community, this property features a two-car attached garage—perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. With generous living space and a functional layout, this home has all the essentials you may desire. A little TLC will go a long way, unlocking its full potential and transforming it into your dream home. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking for space at a great value, this property is full of promise and possibilities. Don’t miss the chance to turn this affordable find into something truly special!

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1983

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($93/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#66 in KS, #3,998 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Geary County Schools (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #60 of 169 in KS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grandview Elem (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 91 students, 72% FRL); Junction City Middle School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #146 of 219 statewide, top 67%, 938 students, 61% FRL); Junction City Sr High (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #161 of 327 statewide, top 50%, 1,657 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 40% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Geary County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Geary County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $135,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-19,986
Equity at exit
$22,962
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,772
Equity at exit
$13,315

Cash invested: $43,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66441

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$808
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,734/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,392
Max offer price $154,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $51 +0% $8 +5% $-36 +10% $-79
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-48 +0% $8 +5% $63 +10% $118
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $47 base $8 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,500
Closing costs
$4,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,000 Active 184 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $154,000 Active 182 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,000 Active 181 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,000 Active 180 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,000 Active 179 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,000 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $154,000 Active 176 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,000 Active 175 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,000 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,000 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,000 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,000 Active 165 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,000 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,000 Active 163 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,000 Active 162 DOM
  17. 2026-01-05
    price $154,000 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    Discover a gem at 820 Robert Street in Junction City! This spacious manufactured home offers an affordable opportunity for buyers seeking room to grow and the chance to make a home their own. Located in Grand Plaza community, this property features a two-car attached garage—perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. With generous living space and a functional layout, this home has all the essentials you may desire. A little TLC will go a long way, unlocking its full potential and transforming it into your dream home. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking for space at a great value, this property is full of promise and possibilities. Don’t miss the chance to turn this affordable find into something truly special!

  18. 2025-12-18
    listed $159,000 Active 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    Discover a gem at 820 Robert Street in Junction City! This spacious manufactured home offers an affordable opportunity for buyers seeking room to grow and the chance to make a home their own. Located in Grand Plaza community, this property features a two-car attached garage—perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. With generous living space and a functional layout, this home has all the essentials you may desire. A little TLC will go a long way, unlocking its full potential and transforming it into your dream home. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking for space at a great value, this property is full of promise and possibilities. Don’t miss the chance to turn this affordable find into something truly special!

  19. 2024-01-19
    soldstatus Closed 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  20. 2023-11-28
    status Pending 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  21. 2023-11-09
    price $140,000 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  22. 2023-09-13
    status Active 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  23. 2023-08-16
    status Pending 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  24. 2023-08-15
    historical 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  25. 2023-08-05
    status Pending 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

  26. 2023-07-20
    listed $149,900 Active 828-char remark
    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    This home is well kept with tons of living space and storage. Enjoy the outdoors on the large covered decks on the front & back of the home, & the beautifully maintained yard. From the front deck, enter into the large open living room with vaulted ceilings. Off the living room is a spacious and updated kitchen with plenty of storage & dining space. Off the kitchen is a large area that could be used as a formal dining area, office, or 2nd living space, with sliding door access to the back deck. Down the hall is a large laundry area, full bathroom, 2 bedrooms, and spacious master suite. The master suite offers a full bathroom and large walk-in closet. This home also has a massive attached 2 car garage. Call Heather Goodson with ReeceNichols Cornerstone today to schedule your personal tour! 270.952.0759

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,734 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,734 · $228/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,821
− Mortgage interest
−$8,626
− Property taxes
−$2,734
− Insurance
−$770
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,346
− Management
−$1,346
− Depreciation
−$4,480
Taxable loss
−$2,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$596
After-tax cash flow
$688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Geary County Schools
NCES district ID
2007890
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$44,319
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6306
State rank
#60 of 169 in KS

Livability — Grandview Plaza

Score
75/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#3998

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grandview Plaza, KS
County
Geary County · 25,828 people
Metro
Manhattan, KS
Population (ZIP)
25,828
Household income
$59,522
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
950.0

Population outlook (Geary County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,364 people
By 2030
38,234 · +2.3%
By 2040
39,727 · +6.3%
By 2050
40,314 · +7.9%
By 2075
44,283 · +18.5%
By 2100
46,935 · +25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geary

2024 margin
R (+17.6) · D 40.1% · R 57.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -17.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.6 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.25%
Current HPI
137.9936
Rent YoY
▲ 6.05%
Metro
Manhattan, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $154,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $159,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-01-19 Sold (MLS) FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-11-28 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-11-09 Price Changed $140,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-09-13 Relisted FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-08-16 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-08-15 Delisted FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-08-05 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $149,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,734 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…