325 Rich St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity with current monthly positive cash flow rented at $950! Updated mechanicals and long term tenants!
Key facts
- 4,059 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 152 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Institute of Technology At Syracuse Central (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 581 students, 68% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.44%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,661
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -10.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 Palmer Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (-3%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $61 | 81 |
| 113 White St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,194 (+1%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $134 | 81 |
| 309 W Kennedy St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,196 (+1%) | 2mo | $101,000 | $84 | 68 |
| 918 Midland Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,192 (+1%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $84 | 68 |
| 122 Putnam St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-10%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 204 Davis St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,208 (+2%) | 2mo | $122,300 | $101 | 58 |
| 172 Parkway Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (+10%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 609 W Colvin St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,236 (+5%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 130 Huron St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-14%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $79 | 51 |
| 210 Hunt Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (-5%) | 11mo | $139,900 | $125 | 47 |
| 119 Clyde Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+10%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $60 | 46 |
| 1606 W Colvin St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+14%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $42 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $22,111
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $66,230
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13207
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $724/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $607 | -5% $583 | +0% $559 | +5% $535 | +10% $511 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $481 | +0% $559 | +5% $637 | +10% $715 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $601 | -0.5pp $580 | base $559 | +0.5pp $537 | +1.0pp $514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,050 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,575 | $1.86 | 15d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 472 S Salina St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $2,095 | $2.05 | 15d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 111 E Onondaga St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $3,000 | $2.61 | 23d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 15d | 13 | 0.96mi |
| 120 Walton St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $3,200 | $3.88 | 45d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 110 Walton St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $2,200 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 110 Walton St Unit 301 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $2,000 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 205 E Jefferson St Unit 2B Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 201 E Jefferson St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,626 | $2.45 | 15d | 9 | 1.12mi |
| 317 S Clinton St Unit 3A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 317 S Clinton St Unit 4A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 321 S Salina St Unit 501 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 321 S Salina St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $2,450 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 129 W Fayette St Unit 217 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 538 Erie Blvd W Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1741 W Onondaga St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 15d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 324 W Water St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,975 | $1.96 | 15d | 6 | 1.23mi |
| 324 W Water St Unit 106 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $2,095 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 101 S Salina St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $2,871 | $4.41 | 15d | 14 | 1.26mi |
| 208 W Water St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,800 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 970 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $600 | $0.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22status $84,900 Pending 152 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-03-15price $84,900 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Investment opportunity with current monthly positive cash flow rented at $950! Updated mechanicals and long term tenants!
-
2026-01-20$89,900 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Investment opportunity with current monthly positive cash flow rented at $950! Updated mechanicals and long term tenants!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $724 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$355/yr (+$30/mo · 49.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,697
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$724
- − Insurance
- −$5,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $6,006
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,442
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,383
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.17%
- Current HPI
- 318.9257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $84,900 CNYIS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $724 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…