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402 W Friedman St
C- Composite 50.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

402 W Friedman St · Kirksville, MO 63501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1975 8,100 sqft lot $61/sqft · 51% below area Est $142k · at est. ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch home with a full basement and a 2-car garage, priced at $149,900. This well-maintained property features numerous updates, including a newer furnace and central air system, newer vinyl siding, guttering and newer modern flooring throughout. Located in a desirable are, this home offers comfort, convenience and great value. Don't miss this opportunity! Call C. Mark Whitney today at 660.341.4527 to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • 8,100 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1975

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Has basement
  • Exterior features: Deck; 90' x 90' lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Electric oven and electric range; Electric water heater; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kirksville Primary (703 students, 49% FRL); William Matthew Middle School (math 27% / reading 39%, grade F, #265 of 391 statewide, top 69%, 493 students, 44% FRL); Kirksville Sr. High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 808 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $129,673 (7.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.78%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,710
List price
$139,900
Delta
-1.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-12,999
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$364
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,297 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $916/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,099
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $196 +0% $156 +5% $117 +10% $77
Rent -10% $54 -5% $105 +0% $156 +5% $207 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $192 base $156 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    price $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  19. 2026-05-05
    listed $149,900 Active 445-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$916 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$441/yr (+$37/mo · 48.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,561
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$916
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,245
− Management
−$1,245
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$451
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$108
After-tax cash flow
$1,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $139,900 NECAR
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $144,900 NECAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $149,900 NECAR

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $916 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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