17021 N Bay Rd #603 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.92%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$343,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sunny Isles Beach, best schools, walking distance to the beach, shopping and restaurants. 2 full bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1031sqft. Community with resort style amenities: tennis courts, basketball, jogging track, playground, beautiful pool area with jacuzzi, BBQ area, exercise room and more! Water, cable and internet included in maintanance. Extra storage. 24 h our security. Parking garage. Storage area. Easy access to ocean, shopping, parks, transportation, etc. Great A+ schools in the area! Can be rented the first year-investors dream.
Key facts
- Jogging track
- Tennis courts
- Beautiful pool area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed conditionally with possible restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $850; Association covers cable TV, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, parking, pest control, recreation facilities, reserve fund, security, trash, and water; Community amenities include basketball court, fitness center, barbecue/picnic area, pool, storage, and tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered garage with 1 assigned space
- Security: Intercom; Phone entry; Security guard
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium in a 10-story building; Entry located on level 6; Attached property
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Barbecue area; Tennis courts; Assigned parking included
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 6
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Partially furnished; Elevator access; Split bedroom layout; Intercom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $344k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-353 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (18.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $344k).
- Recommended offer: $281k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Norman S. Edelcup/Sunny Isles Beach K-8 (math 68% / reading 69%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 2,231 students, 30% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 64% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($302k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; list at $344k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.92%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-31,436
- Equity at exit
- $108,887
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-30,813
- Equity at exit
- $138,429
Cash invested: $96,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1879
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,801
- Tax from tax record
- −$373 /mo · $4,481/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$850
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$862
- Net cashflow
- $-353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-158 | -5% $-255 | +0% $-353 | +5% $-450 | +10% $-547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-677 | -5% $-515 | +0% $-353 | +5% $-191 | +10% $-28 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-180 | -0.5pp $-265 | base $-353 | +0.5pp $-442 | +1.0pp $-532 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,875
- Closing costs
- $10,305
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2325 | $18,000 | $7.74 | 4d | 9 | 0.79mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $850 · $10,200/yr
- Likely covers
- waterinternetcablepoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $343,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $343,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $343,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $343,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $343,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $343,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $343,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $343,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $343,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $343,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $343,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $343,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $343,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $343,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $343,500
-
2026-01-21$344,000 Active
-
2026-01-17historical
-
2025-10-21price $344,000
-
2025-09-30price $345,000
-
2025-09-03price $365,000
-
2025-09-03$379,000 Active
-
2025-04-15historical
-
2024-09-02price $409,000
-
2024-06-05price $410,000
-
2024-05-21price $425,000
-
2024-03-29price $429,000
-
2024-03-11price $450,000
-
2024-03-11$45,000 Active
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2021-08-05$279,000 Active
-
2021-02-26soldstatus $195,000
-
2021-02-24soldstatus $195,000 Closed
-
2021-01-27status Pending
-
2021-01-23$204,995 Active
-
2004-05-20soldstatus $172,000
-
1997-08-05soldstatus $70,000
-
1989-06-14soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,481 · $373/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,481 · $373/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 92% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,241
- − Property taxes
- −$4,481
- − Insurance
- −$6,836
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,939
- − Management
- −$3,939
- − HOA
- −$10,200
- − Depreciation
- −$9,993
- Taxable loss
- −$9,388
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,253
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+428.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $343,500 MARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $344,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $344,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $345,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $365,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $379,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-09-02 Price Changed $409,000 MARMLS
- 2024-06-05 Price Changed $410,000 MARMLS
- 2024-05-21 Price Changed $425,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-29 Price Changed $429,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-11 Price Changed $450,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-11 Listed $45,000 MARMLS
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-08-05 Listed $279,000 MARMLS
- 2021-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-24 Sold (MLS) $195,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-27 Pending — MARMLS
- 2021-01-23 Listed $204,995 MARMLS
- 2004-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 1997-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1989-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,481 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…