7720 Irvington Ave · Clayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover an exceptional opportunity to embrace comfortable living in this charming brick ranch. This delightful home offers three generously sized bedrooms, two full bathrooms and a half, a large eat-in kitchen providing ample space and privacy for everyone. The inviting layout encompasses 1216 square feet of living area, thoughtfully designed to maximize both functionality and aesthetic appeal. The semi-finished basement is ideal for a game room, home theater, or extra living space—whatever suits your lifestyle. , fenced for outdoor activities. Schedule your showing today and live your dream
Key facts
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Brick ranch
- 9,278 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-381 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (37.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (38.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#363 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $143k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.08%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,006
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -30.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7807 Irvington Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+4%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $147 | 80 |
| 7861 Irvington Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $172 | 76 |
| 4133 Roman Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+0%) | 9mo | $159,000 | $130 | 67 |
| 7848 Irvington Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (+10%) | 11mo | $215,900 | $162 | 65 |
| 7885 Allison Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-2%) | 11mo | $182,000 | $152 | 65 |
| 7400 N Main St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (-12%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $145 | 59 |
| 161 Ashbrook Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,372 (+13%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 5981 Ashbrook Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 14mo | $194,200 | $150 | 51 |
| 8201 N Main St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (+6%) | 19mo | $95,000 | $74 | 36 |
| 5408 Maplecliff Ct | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (-4%) | 19mo | $212,000 | $182 | 33 |
| 8207 N Main St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (+12%) | 19mo | $132,000 | $97 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-53,429
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -37.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-77,697
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45415
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,855/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $-381
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-279 | -5% $-330 | +0% $-381 | +5% $-432 | +10% $-483 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-469 | -5% $-425 | +0% $-381 | +5% $-338 | +10% $-294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-291 | -0.5pp $-336 | base $-381 | +0.5pp $-428 | +1.0pp $-475 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7835 N Main St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 148 Burgess Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 132 Burgess Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,130 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4303 Drowfield Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4777 Dawnwood Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1479 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 651 Rustic Oak Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,015 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $195,000 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Discover an exceptional opportunity to embrace comfortable living in this charming brick ranch. This delightful home offers three generously sized bedrooms, two full bathrooms and a half, a large eat-in kitchen providing ample space and privacy for everyone. The inviting layout encompasses 1216 square feet of living area, thoughtfully designed to maximize both functionality and aesthetic appeal. The semi-finished basement is ideal for a game room, home theater, or extra living space—whatever suits your lifestyle. , fenced for outdoor activities. Schedule your showing today and live your dream
-
2026-04-03price $200,000 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Discover an exceptional opportunity to embrace comfortable living in this charming brick ranch. This delightful home offers three generously sized bedrooms, two full bathrooms and a half, a large eat-in kitchen providing ample space and privacy for everyone. The inviting layout encompasses 1216 square feet of living area, thoughtfully designed to maximize both functionality and aesthetic appeal. The semi-finished basement is ideal for a game room, home theater, or extra living space—whatever suits your lifestyle. , fenced for outdoor activities. Schedule your showing today and live your dream
-
2026-03-30$190,000 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Discover an exceptional opportunity to embrace comfortable living in this charming brick ranch. This delightful home offers three generously sized bedrooms, two full bathrooms and a half, a large eat-in kitchen providing ample space and privacy for everyone. The inviting layout encompasses 1216 square feet of living area, thoughtfully designed to maximize both functionality and aesthetic appeal. The semi-finished basement is ideal for a game room, home theater, or extra living space—whatever suits your lifestyle. , fenced for outdoor activities. Schedule your showing today and live your dream
-
2021-10-12soldstatus $143,433
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2021-10-01soldstatus $143,500 Sold 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $143,500 Closed 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $143,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-09-08historical Contingency Pending
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-09-08historical Active/Pending 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-09-03$139,000 Active 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
-
2021-09-03$139,000 Active
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom brick ranch home is ready for you! New carpet was just installed throughout. Large eat-in kitchen features a peninsula countertop for additional seating and has beautiful flooring. This home has 2 gorgeous, updated full bathrooms on the main level and 1 additional half bathroom in the lower level. The semi-finished basement can double the amount of living space and has tons of storage space. Fantastic concrete patio off the kitchen overlooks the large, flat backyard that is already fenced. Oversized 2 car detached garage with electric provides even more storage space. Come check it out for yourself, as it is much larger than it appears!
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2008-08-20soldstatus $95,000
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2004-05-13soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,855 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,855 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,855
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$7,903
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,897
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northmont City
- NCES district ID
- 3904872
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,230
- Composite
- 49.53/100
- National rank
- #1995
- State rank
- #318 of 656 in OH
Livability — Clayton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #5877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery · 506,435 people
- City population
- 37,953
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,171
- Household income
- $78,864
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.7
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 42% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.39%
- Current HPI
- 171.4122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+129.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $195,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $200,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $190,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $143,433 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $143,500 Cincy MLS
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $143,500 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $143,500 Dayton MLS
- 2021-09-08 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2021-09-08 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2021-09-03 Listed $139,000 Cincy MLS
- 2021-09-03 Listed $139,000 Dayton MLS
- 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,855 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…