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3416 103rd St Triplex
D Composite 42.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$1,449,000

3416 103rd St · New York, NY 11368
9 bd · 3.9 ba · 2,360 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 168 Days on market
Built 1933 2,759 sqft lot Est $1430k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

Key facts

  • Multifamily property
  • Major roadways
  • Local amenities

Tags

MULTIFAMILY PROPERTYPRIVATE GATED FRONT ENTRANCEHIGH-DEMAND NEIGHBORHOODPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONMAJOR ROADWAYSLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tax year 2024 (tax amount reported)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Quadruplex
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Back yard; Front yard; Fully fenced yard; Irregular lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Other heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $1.45M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-442/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.21M (16.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.00M (30.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.00M (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Ps 92 Harry T Stewart Sr (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 829 students, 81% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,027/mo this rent would consume 166% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $117k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $107k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$188k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.28M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $960k; list at $1.45M implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,002,700 (30.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.72%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,430,160
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31-15 101st St 0.40mi 8/— (-1) 2,400 (+2%) 7mo $1,150,000 $479 68
101-16 32nd Ave 0.29mi 10/6.0 (+1) 2,211 (-6%) 6mo $1,360,000 $615 58
102-33 46th Ave 0.66mi 8/3.0 (-1) 2,310 (-2%) 14mo $1,400,000 $606 46
10205 46th Ave 0.67mi 8/5.0 (-1) 2,070 (-12%) 3mo $1,183,000 $571 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$457,077
Equity at exit
$1,042,199
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$1,388,343
Equity at exit
$2,015,195

Cash invested: $405,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11368

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
36.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,599
Tax from tax record
$977 /mo · $11,727/yr
Insurance
$604
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,106
Net cashflow
$-1,325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,704
Max offer price $1,214,955
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-505 -5% $-915 +0% $-1,325 +5% $-1,735 +10% $-2,145
Rent -10% $-2,117 -5% $-1,721 +0% $-1,325 +5% $-929 +10% $-533
Rate -1.0pp $-595 -0.5pp $-956 base $-1,325 +0.5pp $-1,700 +1.0pp $-2,082

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,027

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$362,250
Closing costs
$43,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,449,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-04-07
    price $1,449,000
  14. 2026-01-05
    listed $1,499,000 Active
  15. 2017-04-06
    soldstatus $960,000
  16. 2017-03-31
    soldstatus $960,000 Closed 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    , Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  17. 2016-07-29
    status Under Contract 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    , Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  18. 2016-06-21
    listed $959,000 New 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    , Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$11,727 · $977/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,108 · $1,509/mo
Expected delta
+$6,380/yr (+$532/mo · 54.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$120,324
− Mortgage interest
−$81,167
− Property taxes
−$11,727
− Insurance
−$8,042
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,626
− Management
−$9,626
− Depreciation
−$42,153
Taxable loss
−$42,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10,084
After-tax cash flow
$-5,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
105,716
Household income
$72,270
Rent vs Own
76.9% rent · 23.1% own
Severe rent burden
6817.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 14% Asian 12% Black 8% White 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 14%
Foreign-born
60% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 70% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.40%
Current HPI
282.8276
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+51.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $1,449,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $960,000 Public Records
  • 2017-03-31 Sold (MLS) $960,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-29 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-21 Listed $959,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $11,727 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…