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210 Pepperidge Dr
B Composite 71.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

210 Pepperidge Dr · Greece, NY 14626
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1952 9,720 sqft lot $141/sqft · 23% below area Est $241k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated! Updated! Furnace and AC 1.5 years! Roof 8 years! Updated kitchen! Fenced yard for pets safety. Appliances included: stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer. Covered rear patio, breezeway, quiet neighborhood, close to Ridgemont Plaza for convenient shopping. You will like this house! Delayed Negotiations until 5/7 @ 3PM

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Covered rear patio
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

FENCED YARDCOVERED REAR PATIOQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Garage door opener; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing (pre-owned) condition; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Covered patio/porch; Patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Mixed/varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.7% in Greece — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#145 in NY, #2,223 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
  • Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $185k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $184,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
9.38%
Cash-on-cash
11.04%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$240,878
List price
$184,900
Delta
-23.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 Summer Ln 0.16mi 4/1.0 1,334 (+2%) 4mo $262,041 $196 87
212 Creekwood Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,340 (+2%) 1mo $344,444 $257 77
264 Harvest Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,470 (+12%) 1mo $250,000 $170 66
52 Laurelhurst Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,444 (+10%) 4mo $205,000 $142 58
71 Laurelhurst Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,464 (+12%) 4mo $240,000 $164 57
110 Ridgewood Rd 0.65mi 4/1.0 1,230 (-6%) 4mo $167,500 $136 56
95 Ridgewood Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,353 (+3%) 2mo $260,000 $192 53
341 North Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,384 (+6%) 2mo $276,000 $199 51
460 Alfonso Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,264 (-4%) 5mo $220,000 $174 48
142 Frandee Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (-10%) 3mo $260,000 $220 45
190 Duxbury Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (+4%) 6mo $195,000 $143 44
160 Wood Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+9%) 6mo $195,700 $137 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-712
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$34,052
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14626

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$422 /mo · $5,060/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$517
Net cashflow
$476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,859
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $581 -5% $529 +0% $476 +5% $424 +10% $371
Rent -10% $282 -5% $379 +0% $476 +5% $573 +10% $671
Rate -1.0pp $569 -0.5pp $523 base $476 +0.5pp $428 +1.0pp $380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
254 W Craig Hill Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1042 $2,600 $2.50 4d 1 1.00mi
598 Bram Hall Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 2.5 1740 $2,750 $1.58 4d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 325-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $184,900 Active 325-char remark
  3. 2000-06-09
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,060 · $422/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,060 · $422/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,537
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$5,060
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,363
− Management
−$2,363
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$3,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$742
After-tax cash flow
$4,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greece Central School District
NCES district ID
3612630
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,718
Composite
32.26/100
National rank
#5761
State rank
#544 of 590 in NY

Livability — Greece

Score
79/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#2223

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greece, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
29,210
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,273
Household income
$78,204
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
810.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.91%
Current HPI
248.9836
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $184,900 UNYREIS
  • 2000-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,060 · +108.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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