5066 Hwy 25 · Newbern, AL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Are you ready to start living in your dream home? Become a homeowner in the beautiful historic town of Newbern. This 3-bedroom 2 bath mobile home sits on one acre of land and ready to be called home. Watch the deer and turkeys all while relaxing on your back porch. Plant your vegetable or flower garden on this super flat lot! This listing includes an adorable sunshine yellow 2-bedroom 1 bath cottage that with the appliances, that will remain with the home. Come to the quiet life and the home to Auburn University's renowned Rural Studio.
Key facts
- Appliances remain
- Back porch
- One acre of land
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#397 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime D-.
- Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.03%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $22,163
- Equity at exit
- $35,099
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $64,218
- Equity at exit
- $47,395
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36765
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $105,000
-
2026-01-20$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$525
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior paint. Fresh paint and new fixtures would significantly enhance its appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and small
- Minor exterior paint — faded
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and small | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior paint · faded | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hale County
- NCES district ID
- 0101710
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,076
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9391
- State rank
- #109 of 129 in AL
Livability — Newbern
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #22290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 680
Population outlook (Hale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,830 people
- By 2030
- 13,032 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 11,487 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 10,091 · -27.0%
- By 2075
- 7,930 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 6,595 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 18%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hale
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.8) · D 53.1% · R 46.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 6.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.8 2020: D+18.9 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Current HPI
- 107.5463
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-8.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $105,000 WAMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $115,000 WAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…