1208 N 10th St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home is the perfect investment property for those looking to give it their own personal touch, make a rental, or to use as their next flip property. The property has a detached garage and an additional concrete slab on the lower lot that is currently used as a basketball court.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1902
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by RE/MAX PROFESSIONALS
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2-story floor plan; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof; Construction materials: Other; Has basement; Home age: 101 years or older
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 12,197 sq ft
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (main and second levels)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main and second levels)
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; Cooling: Other (has cooling)
- Interior features: Formal dining area; Unfinished basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper/second level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.60%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,171
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -46.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1024 Lincoln St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-1%) | 0mo | $99,900 | $73 | 85 |
| 807 Albemarle St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,252 (-10%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $140 | 69 |
| 1016 N 11th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+12%) | 3mo | $154,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 1030 Douglas St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (+7%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $142 | 60 |
| 515 N 11th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,340 (-3%) | 10mo | $39,000 | $29 | 58 |
| 2015 Barkley Ln | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 | 1,394 (+1%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $108 | 57 |
| 1620 Buchanan Ave | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-5%) | 6mo | $202,500 | $153 | 56 |
| 1111 N 18th St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,479 (+7%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $57 | 55 |
| 1831 Martha Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-10%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 720 N 20th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-6%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $93 | 40 |
| 1321 N 20th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $80 | 39 |
| 1718 Main St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,225 (-12%) | 4mo | $157,400 | $128 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $16,324
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $49,835
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64501
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $679/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 S 13th St St Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2901 Frederick Ave Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13status $70,000 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$85,000 Active 305-char remark
-
2026-05-07historical $85,000 305-char remark
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-27$75,000 Active
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2023-04-20soldstatus
-
2000-10-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$679
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,078
- − Management
- −$1,078
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- County
- Buchanan County · 32,150 people
- City population
- 44,382
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,689
- Household income
- $46,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.20%
- Current HPI
- 157.8706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $75,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $679 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…