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39-41 Palmer Ave Duplex
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

39-41 Palmer Ave · Jewett City, CT 06351
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,217 sqft · MultiFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1865 Fair condition 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

LOOKING FOR SOMETHING TO DO, THEN HERE IT IS, 2 FAMILY NEEDS SOME WORK, HAS HARDWOOD FLOORS, MAIN LEVEL HAS 2 BEDROOMS AND UPPER UNIT HAS ONE BEDROOM AND ANOTHER ROOM FOR OFFICE OR DEN. COVERED PORCH, WALK OUT BASEMENT AND SHED FOR STORAGE. NICE YARD. OFF STREET PARKING ON A ONE WAY STREET. CLOSE TO SHOPPING, 395, FOXWOODS CASINO, MOHEGAN CASINO.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1865
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Multi-family property (2-family)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete and stone foundation; Built as a multi-family dwelling
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Lightly wooded, level to sloping lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heat; fuel tank located in the basement; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full basement with concrete floor and walk-out; Has a walk-up attic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $977 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $489/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.5% in Jewett City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#96 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.95%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$28,265
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$104,935
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06351

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,148/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$645
Net cashflow
$977

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,836
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,122 -5% $1,050 +0% $977 +5% $905 +10% $832
Rent -10% $734 -5% $856 +0% $977 +5% $1,098 +10% $1,220
Rate -1.0pp $1,083 -0.5pp $1,030 base $977 +0.5pp $923 +1.0pp $867

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,073

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $209,900 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 348-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $209,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,876
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$3,148
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,950
− Management
−$2,950
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable income
$8,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,139
After-tax cash flow
$9,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This multi-family home requires moderate renovations, including exterior painting and interior updates, to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — There are some visible signs of wear and tear on the siding.
  • Major Interior updates — The interior appears to be in poor condition, requiring significant updates.
  • Major Flooring — The flooring is likely outdated or in need of replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating the exterior — Painting the exterior can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior updates and flooring replacement — Updating the interior and replacing outdated flooring can significantly increase the home's value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · There are some visible signs of wear and tear on the siding. Minor $500–3,000
Interior updates · The interior appears to be in poor condition, requiring significant updates. Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · The flooring is likely outdated or in need of replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating the exterior — Painting the exterior can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Interior updates and flooring replacement — Updating the interior and replacing outdated flooring can significantly increase the home's value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Griswold School District
NCES district ID
0901740
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$59,711
Composite
31.64/100
National rank
#5932
State rank
#111 of 153 in CT

Livability — Jewett City

Score
70/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#7502

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jewett City, CT
Population (ZIP)
15,697

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 10% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.06%
Current HPI
227.571
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $209,900 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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