6 Snow Way · Holiday Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
Key facts
- Pump replaced
- Electric heat pump
- Shed included
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 1.1% in Holiday Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,558 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.94%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,328
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Snow Way | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 1mo | $83,500 | $124 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $33,870
- Equity at exit
- $13,858
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $91,651
- Equity at exit
- $8,553
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18210
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 453
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $661/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-10$89,900 Active
-
2026-02-17soldstatus $72,500
-
2026-02-13soldstatus $72,500 Closed 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2026-02-02status Pending 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2026-01-22status Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-12-16status Pending 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-11-28price $85,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-11-17price $89,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-11-10price $99,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-11-03price $105,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-10-23price $114,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-10-16price $119,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-10-10price $124,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
-
2025-09-27$129,900 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
PERFECT LOCATION! Two bedroom one bath mobile home on its own property. Within walking distance to Hickory Run State Park. Approximately 3 miles to PA Turnpike. 30 minute drive to Allentown. NO DUES OR ASSOCIATION. Shed included. Electric heat pump and central air. Shared well. Pump replaced in 2023.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,041 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$379/yr (+$32/mo · 57.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$661
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $8,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,933
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jim Thorpe Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212540
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,476
- Composite
- 31.42/100
- National rank
- #5988
- State rank
- #394 of 539 in PA
Livability — Holiday Pocono
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1558
- US rank
- #20681
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,879
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.89%
- Current HPI
- 203.8099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-30.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $89,900 PMAR
- 2026-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2026-02-13 Sold (MLS) $72,500 PMAR
- 2026-02-02 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — PMAR
- 2025-12-16 Pending — PMAR
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $85,000 PMAR
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $89,900 PMAR
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $99,900 PMAR
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $105,900 PMAR
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $114,000 PMAR
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $119,000 PMAR
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $124,900 PMAR
- 2025-09-27 Listed $129,900 PMAR
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $661 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…