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412 Hortus Dr
F Composite 34.07
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

412 Hortus Dr · Kyle, TX 78640
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,127 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 2022 Poor condition 5,222 sqft lot Garage $191/sqft · 30% below area Est $309k · 30% under ↓ 42% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

Key facts

  • 5,222 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-413 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (33.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (33.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#138 in TX, #3,993 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Susie Fuentes El (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 650 students, 60% FRL); Armando Chapa Middle (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 668 students, 65% FRL); Lehman H S (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,120 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 43% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hays CISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 2089 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 48d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,032 (33.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
3.99%
Cash-on-cash
-8.23%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$308,718
List price
$215,000
Delta
-30.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
299 Fabion St 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,127 (0%) 12mo $257,000 $228 76
3085 Winding Creek Rd 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,105 (-2%) 3mo $239,990 $217 65
125 Sapphire Lake Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,151 (+2%) 10mo $229,900 $200 61
3013 Winding Creek Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,191 (+6%) 4mo $261,130 $219 56
100 Catalina Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,203 (+7%) 12mo $239,900 $199 55
3035 Winding Creek Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,191 (+6%) 4mo $257,780 $216 55
1061 Violet Ln 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,295 (+15%) 2mo $244,900 $189 54
212 Fabion St 0.28mi 2/2.5 1,269 (+13%) 13mo $255,000 $201 53
3021 Winding Creek Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,191 (+6%) 11mo $272,780 $229 49
340 Spillway Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (-7%) 10mo $210,000 $200 43
1469 Twin Cv 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,267 (+12%) 7mo $237,900 $188 40
1541 Twin Cv 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,295 (+15%) 5mo $230,000 $178 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.9%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-65,999
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-75.1%
Equity multiple
-0.83×
Total profit
$-110,059
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
32 active · 5 under contract
Months of supply
14.8 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$269,272 ($211/sqft)
Median days on market
304 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+29.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78640

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
2089
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,726 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$559 /mo · $6,711/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,248
Max offer price $142,032
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-291 -5% $-352 +0% $-413 +5% $-474 +10% $-535
Rent -10% $-549 -5% $-481 +0% $-413 +5% $-345 +10% $-277
Rate -1.0pp $-305 -0.5pp $-358 base $-413 +0.5pp $-469 +1.0pp $-525

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 Keltic Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1437 $1,795 $1.25 18d 1 0.09mi
1310 Goforth Rd Kyle, TX 2.0 2.0 1163 $1,750 $1.50 31d 1 0.24mi
220 Fabion St Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,795 $1.35 30d 1 0.30mi
196 Fabion St Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,795 $1.35 30d 1 0.31mi
164 Fabion St Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1437 $1,799 $1.25 64d 1 0.33mi
109 Granite Shoals Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,700 $1.30 53d 1 0.53mi
1579 Violet Ln Kyle, TX 3.0 2.5 1426 $1,750 $1.23 73d 1 0.62mi
1437 Treeta Trl Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,895 $1.50 93d 1 0.67mi
289 Lake Washington Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,649 $1.19 25d 1 0.69mi
521 Bunton Reserve Blvd Kyle, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1870 $1,935 $1.03 9d 16 0.73mi
1469 Breanna Ln Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,650 $1.24 67d 1 0.74mi
1687 Twin Estates Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.5 1426 $1,900 $1.33 21d 1 0.75mi
205 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,595 $1.12 71d 1 0.77mi
205 Mood Lake Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,595 $1.12 73d 1 0.77mi
180 Onyx Lake Dr Kyle, TX 2.0 2.0 1265 $1,700 $1.34 34d 1 0.86mi
228 Pearl Lake Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,725 $1.20 73d 1 0.87mi
228 Pearl Lake Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,725 $1.20 71d 1 0.87mi
850 Bunton Reserve Blvd Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,750 $1.58 27d 1 0.91mi
250 Seneca Loop Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,750 $1.58 37d 1 0.92mi
931 Brandi Cir Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,750 $1.30 53d 1 1.01mi
680 Ferrule Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.5 1360 $1,700 $1.25 42d 1 1.10mi
1561 Arbor Knot Dr Kyle, TX 2.0 2.0 1195 $1,625 $1.36 42d 1 1.24mi
205 Beech Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1359 $1,790 $1.32 21d 1 1.25mi
205 Beech Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1359 $1,825 $1.34 93d 1 1.25mi
141 Beech Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1499 $1,850 $1.23 16d 1 1.30mi
360 Shady Oaks Dr Unit A Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 47d 1 1.31mi
288 Ferrule Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,549 $1.34 18d 1 1.32mi
314 Paddington Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,799 $1.32 67d 1 1.32mi
211 Wild Buffalo Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,595 $1.35 65d 1 1.34mi
211 Wild Buffalo Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,595 $1.35 67d 1 1.34mi
211 Wild Buffalo Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,595 $1.35 73d 1 1.34mi
140 Llama Loop Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,695 $1.27 93d 1 1.43mi
351 Zebra Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,650 $1.37 29d 1 1.43mi
273 Tower Dr Kyle, TX 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,785 $1.43 18d 1 1.45mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association

Exterior

Parking
Detached single-door garage2 garage spaces
Security
Smoke detectors
Utilities
Electricity availableNatural gas availablePublic waterPublic sewerTrash collection (public)Underground utilities
Home design
Single-storyResale property
Construction
Masonry constructionComposition/shingle roofSlab foundationBuilt (year per assessor)
Exterior features
Picket and wood fencing in the back yardCity lotLess than quarter acrePublic maintained asphalt/paved road

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalGas rangeMicrowaveRangeGranite countersKitchen islandPantryWalk-in pantrySolid surface counters
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central air (electric)Natural gas heatingOne cooling unit
Interior features
All bedrooms on the main levelCeiling fansHigh ceilingsPull-down attic stairsRecessed lightingSplit bedroom layoutWalk-in closetsWindow treatmentsGranite countersKitchen islandPantrySolid surface countersWalk-in pantry
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry closetGas water heaterWater heater

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $215,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $215,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-07-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-07-06
    days on market $215,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-07-05
    days on market $215,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-07-03
    pricestatusdays on market $215,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-26
    status $200,000 Pending 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-24
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-22
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  15. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  16. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  17. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  18. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  19. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $200,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
  20. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  21. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  22. 2026-06-03
    days on market $212,950 Active 20 DOM
  23. 2026-06-02
    days on market $212,950 Active 19 DOM
  24. 2026-06-01
    days on market $212,950 Active 18 DOM
  25. 2026-06-01
    price $212,950 Active 17 DOM
  26. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,950 Active 17 DOM
  27. 2026-05-14
    listed $224,950 Active 186-char remark
  28. 2025-06-07
    historical $1,797
  29. 2025-05-05
    listed $1,797
  30. 2025-02-06
    price
  31. 2024-12-30
    listed Active
  32. 2023-04-27
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  33. 2023-03-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  34. 2023-03-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  35. 2023-02-09
    price $304,990
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  36. 2023-02-09
    price $304,990
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  37. 2022-11-10
    price $320,270
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  38. 2022-11-10
    price $320,270
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  39. 2022-09-23
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  40. 2022-09-23
    price $340,270
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  41. 2022-09-23
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  42. 2022-09-23
    price $340,270
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  43. 2022-07-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  44. 2022-07-11
    price $340,070
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  45. 2022-07-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  46. 2022-07-11
    price $340,070
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  47. 2022-06-06
    listed $345,070 Active
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

  48. 2022-06-06
    listed $345,070 Active
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    MLS# 5449177 - Built by Brohn Homes - Ready Now! ~ Open floor plan concept. Lots of windows and natural light. Walk in shower in primary bath. Breakfast bar in the kitchen, Community is ONLY 6 minutes from i-35. Great for commuters to Austin! Resort style pool included in HOA!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,711 · $559/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,711 · $559/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,707
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$6,711
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,657
− Management
−$1,657
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$8,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,085
After-tax cash flow
$-2,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $56,350–$101,430 screening

This home requires extensive repairs and renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed plumbing in kitchen — Exposed plumbing indicates a significant issue that needs immediate attention
  • Major Missing cabinet doors in kitchen — Missing cabinet doors are a safety hazard and need to be replaced
  • Major Water damage in bathrooms — Visible water damage indicates a need for immediate repairs to prevent further damage
  • Major Worn and damaged flooring — Damaged flooring needs to be replaced to ensure safety and comfort
  • Major Peeling paint on interior walls — Peeling paint indicates a need for repainting to improve appearance and safety
  • Major Visible damage and peeling paint on exterior siding — Visible damage and peeling paint on exterior siding need to be repaired to improve appearance and prevent further damage
  • Major Overgrown vegetation — Overgrown vegetation needs to be trimmed and landscaped to improve curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value
  • Resale Bathroom renovation — Renovated bathrooms will attract more buyers and increase the home's value
  • Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value
  • Resale Painting and repairs — Repainting and repairing visible damage will improve the home's appearance and increase its value
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 26/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Susie Fuentes El F TX #2,982/4,322 Nat'l #29,743/41,679 Middle Armando Chapa Middle F TX #1,236/1,662 Nat'l #10,204/14,009 High Lehman H S F TX #1,234/1,632 Nat'l #12,251/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hays CISD
NCES district ID
4800010
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,570
Composite
34.78/100
National rank
#5118
State rank
#390 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Kyle

Score
75/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#3993

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kyle, TX
County
Hays County · 286,948 people
City population
77,531
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
77,531
Household income
$90,075
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,948 people
By 2030
336,923 · +17.4%
By 2040
441,894 · +54.0%
By 2050
553,462 · +92.9%
By 2075
838,261 · +192.1%
By 2100
1,063,658 · +270.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 36% Two or more races 29% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 47% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 35%

Political lean MEDSL · Hays

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-42.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $200,000 CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-31 Price Changed $212,950 CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $219,950 CTXMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $224,950 CTXMLS
  • 2025-06-07 Rental Removed $1,797 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-05-05 Listed for Rent $1,797 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-02-06 Price Changed Unlock MLS
  • 2024-12-30 Listed Unlock MLS
  • 2023-04-27 Sold (MLS) Unlock MLS
  • 2023-03-28 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2023-03-28 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2023-02-09 Price Changed $304,990 CTXMLS
  • 2023-02-09 Price Changed $304,990 Unlock MLS
  • 2022-11-10 Price Changed $320,270 CTXMLS
  • 2022-11-10 Price Changed $320,270 Unlock MLS
  • 2022-09-23 Relisted Unlock MLS
  • 2022-09-23 Price Changed $340,270 CTXMLS
  • 2022-09-23 Relisted CTXMLS
  • 2022-09-23 Price Changed $340,270 Unlock MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2022-07-11 Price Changed $340,070 CTXMLS
  • 2022-07-11 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Price Changed $340,070 Unlock MLS
  • 2022-06-06 Listed $345,070 CTXMLS
  • 2022-06-06 Listed $345,070 Unlock MLS

Property tax history

+83.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,711 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…