1020 Sedgefield St · Durham, NC
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$338,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great Walltown duplex with strong rental history and only a couple of blocks from Duke! Both units leased until 2027! Charming front porch, hardwood floors, and central HVAC. All electric and appliances include washer/dryer, fridge, and stove. Amazing location only a few blocks from everything Broad and 9th streets have to offer and less than two miles from downtown!
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 185 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.16 acre
- Financial info: Property contains 2 total units; Owner pays taxes; Tenants pay all utilities
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Duplex; One story; Site built
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch; City street frontage; Paved, publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric, heat pump)
- Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fan(s); Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $338k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $411/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $338k).
- Recommended offer: $297k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in Durham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in NC, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Durham Public Schools (urban): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #132 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,905 units permitted in Durham County in 2024 (955 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,921/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 3406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Durham County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($297k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $338k implies a 1027% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.26%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $865,200
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1314 Sedgefield St | 0.36mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 1,317 (+10%) | 23mo | $950,000 | $721 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,531
- Equity at exit
- $50,397
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $64,792
- Equity at exit
- $29,224
Cash invested: $94,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27705
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,921 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,773
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,553/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$823
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $3,920 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,960 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,960 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,921 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,500
- Closing costs
- $10,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 9th St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 988 | $3,865 | $3.91 | 13d | 47 | 0.36mi |
| 1906 Guess Rd Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $1,645 | $1.99 | 23d | 22 | 0.49mi |
| 749 9th St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $3,999 | $3.69 | 13d | 97 | 0.57mi |
| 1803 Hillcrest Dr Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,975 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 730 Rutherford St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1030 | $4,105 | $3.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1306 Leon St Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,675 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 704 15th St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1257 | $4,306 | $3.42 | 13d | 44 | 0.80mi |
| 2710 Lawndale Ave Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,600 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 701 Washington St Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $5,241 | $5.26 | 13d | 214 | 1.09mi |
| 2335 Broad St Durham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $1,972 | $1.86 | 13d | 22 | 1.18mi |
| 605 W Main St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $3,628 | $3.71 | 13d | 48 | 1.28mi |
| 318 W Corporation St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $3,750 | $4.17 | 13d | 55 | 1.31mi |
| 815 Pauli Murray Pl Durham, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $3,400 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 833 Gerard St Durham, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $338,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $338,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $338,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $338,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $338,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $338,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $338,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $358,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $358,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $358,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $358,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $358,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-02-02price $358,000
-
2025-12-11$374,000 Active
-
2007-08-27soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,553 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,553 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,933
- − Property taxes
- −$3,553
- − Insurance
- −$2,488
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,764
- − Management
- −$3,764
- − Depreciation
- −$9,833
- Taxable income
- $4,717
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Durham Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701260
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,143
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6457
- State rank
- #132 of 178 in NC
Livability — Durham
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #1411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Durham, NC
- County
- Durham County · 288,747 people
- City population
- 288,747
- Metro
- Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,923
- Household income
- $73,066
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3406.0
Population outlook (Durham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 368,962 people
- By 2030
- 402,686 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 468,677 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 531,727 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 660,446 · +79.0%
- By 2100
- 739,971 · +100.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Durham
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+61.9) · D 80.2% · R 18.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.0pp toward D · 2008: 51.9pp · 2024: 61.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+61.9 2020: D+62.4 2016: D+60.4 2012: D+52.7 2008: D+51.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -446.90%
- Current HPI
- 257.6519
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- Metro
- Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+1093.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $358,000 TMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $374,000 TMLS
- 2007-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,553 · +45.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…