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15 Railroad Ave
B- Composite 66.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

15 Railroad Ave · Paulsboro, NJ 08066
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,396 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1940 3,920 sqft lot Est $274k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 85 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Year built (estimated)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached structure; Flat roof
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Concrete perimeter and block foundation; Above-grade finished area (estimated)
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level; Total of 4 rooms including living room, master bedroom, kitchen and one additional bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil fuel); Wall unit cooling; 100 amp electric service; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Paulsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paulsboro School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #455 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Paulsboro High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #373 of 399 statewide, top 94%, 384 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 67% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $150k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.50%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
561 Billings Ave 0.34mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,425 (+2%) 1mo $280,000 $196 74
546 Billings Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,406 (+1%) 5mo $279,000 $198 72
1043 Penn Line Rd 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-7%) 4mo $235,000 $181 65
531 Greenwich Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,318 (-6%) 1mo $180,000 $137 64
400 Billings Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-0%) 3mo $280,000 $201 62
219 Vanneman Blvd 0.69mi 2/1.5 1,320 (-5%) 5mo $218,000 $165 55
517 Greenwich Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (-10%) 4mo $282,000 $225 52
423 Sheridan Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+7%) 4mo $310,000 $207 49
1214 Walter Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,450 (+4%) 4mo $278,000 $192 47
334 Lincoln Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,292 (-7%) 3mo $225,000 $174 46
317 Billingsport Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,270 (-9%) 2mo $270,000 $213 42
320 Billingsport Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,275 (-9%) 2mo $225,000 $176 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-800
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$29,817
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08066

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,914 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$296 /mo · $3,558/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,449
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $452 -5% $410 +0% $367 +5% $325 +10% $282
Rent -10% $216 -5% $292 +0% $367 +5% $443 +10% $519
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $405 base $367 +0.5pp $328 +1.0pp $289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
226 Greenwich Ave Paulsboro, NJ 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 25d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-05-08
    price $149,900
  7. 2026-04-22
    price $159,900
  8. 2026-04-10
    price $164,900
  9. 2026-03-11
    listed $169,900 Active
  10. 2026-03-06
    historical $169,900
  11. 2018-03-14
    price $225,000
  12. 2009-08-31
    soldstatus $54,000
  13. 2009-08-26
    soldstatus $54,000
  14. 2009-08-21
    soldstatus $54,000 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

  15. 2009-08-21
    soldstatus $54,000
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

  16. 2009-07-10
    historical 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

  17. 2009-02-18
    listed $59,900 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

  18. 2009-02-18
    listed $59,900
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.

  19. 2009-01-31
    historical
  20. 2008-04-16
    listed $79,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,558 · $296/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,645 · $304/mo
Expected delta
+$87/yr (+$7/mo · 2.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,973
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,558
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$2,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$536
After-tax cash flow
$3,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paulsboro School District
NCES district ID
3412720
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$43,261
Composite
13.46/100
National rank
#9521
State rank
#455 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Paulsboro

Score
62/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#16559

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paulsboro, NJ
County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
7,760
Household income
$65,070
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
304.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Armenian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.33%
Current HPI
337.4363
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-14 Price Changed $225,000 CJMLS
  • 2009-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2009-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2009-08-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 TREND
  • 2009-08-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-07-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-02-18 Listed $59,900 TREND
  • 2009-02-18 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-04-16 Listed $79,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,558 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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