15 Railroad Ave · Paulsboro, NJ
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 85 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Year built (estimated)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Flat roof
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Concrete perimeter and block foundation; Above-grade finished area (estimated)
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level; Total of 4 rooms including living room, master bedroom, kitchen and one additional bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil fuel); Wall unit cooling; 100 amp electric service; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Paulsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Paulsboro School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #455 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Paulsboro High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #373 of 399 statewide, top 94%, 384 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 67% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $150k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.50%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561 Billings Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,425 (+2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $196 | 74 |
| 546 Billings Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,406 (+1%) | 5mo | $279,000 | $198 | 72 |
| 1043 Penn Line Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-7%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $181 | 65 |
| 531 Greenwich Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,318 (-6%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $137 | 64 |
| 400 Billings Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-0%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $201 | 62 |
| 219 Vanneman Blvd | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,320 (-5%) | 5mo | $218,000 | $165 | 55 |
| 517 Greenwich Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,255 (-10%) | 4mo | $282,000 | $225 | 52 |
| 423 Sheridan Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+7%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $207 | 49 |
| 1214 Walter Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,450 (+4%) | 4mo | $278,000 | $192 | 47 |
| 334 Lincoln Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,292 (-7%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $174 | 46 |
| 317 Billingsport Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,270 (-9%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $213 | 42 |
| 320 Billingsport Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,275 (-9%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $176 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-800
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $29,817
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08066
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,914 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,558/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $410 | +0% $367 | +5% $325 | +10% $282 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $216 | -5% $292 | +0% $367 | +5% $443 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $405 | base $367 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Greenwich Ave Paulsboro, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $149,900
-
2026-04-22price $159,900
-
2026-04-10price $164,900
-
2026-03-11$169,900 Active
-
2026-03-06historical $169,900
-
2018-03-14price $225,000
-
2009-08-31soldstatus $54,000
-
2009-08-26soldstatus $54,000
-
2009-08-21soldstatus $54,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
-
2009-08-21soldstatus $54,000
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
-
2009-07-10historical 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
-
2009-02-18$59,900 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
-
2009-02-18$59,900
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Why rent when you could buy this renovated home with large 2 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bathrooms, eat-in kitchen, sunroom and more. This home could also be a postivie cash flow investment opportunity.
-
2009-01-31historical
-
2008-04-16$79,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,558 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,645 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- +$87/yr (+$7/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,558
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,838
- − Management
- −$1,838
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,232
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$536
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,872/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulsboro School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412720
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,261
- Composite
- 13.46/100
- National rank
- #9521
- State rank
- #455 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Paulsboro
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #16559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paulsboro, NJ
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,760
- Household income
- $65,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 304.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Armenian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.33%
- Current HPI
- 337.4363
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+88.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-14 Price Changed $225,000 CJMLS
- 2009-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 TREND
- 2009-08-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-07-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-02-18 Listed $59,900 TREND
- 2009-02-18 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-01-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-04-16 Listed $79,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,558 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…