1010 Bert Cir · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$75,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together.
Key facts
- Pantry storage
- Open-concept kitchen
- New construction
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.5% in Penn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Penn Trafford Hs (math 89%, 1,263 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $89 of equity ($525 loan paydown + $-436 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.17%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,874
- List price
- $75,999
- Delta
- -13.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 923 Scott Ave | 0.95mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (+3%) | 4mo | $134,900 | $144 | 57 |
| 214 S 7th St | 1.11mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-1%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $72 | 55 |
| 303 Mount Manor Rd | 1.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 920 (+1%) | 6mo | $161,000 | $175 | 53 |
| 113 S 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-1%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $94 | 53 |
| 113 1/2 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 870 (-4%) | 3mo | $66,800 | $77 | 52 |
| 111 Dancer Ln | 1.22mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+8%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $26 | 49 |
| 238 Colleen Ln | 1.28mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (-2%) | 18mo | $59,900 | $67 | 48 |
| 719 Julia St | 1.38mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (+3%) | 15mo | $103,862 | $111 | 47 |
| 17 Martha Ave | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+10%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $255 | 43 |
| 247 Colleen Ln | 1.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+8%) | 6mo | $34,900 | $36 | 42 |
| 30 Marilou Dr | 1.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 988 (+9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $202 | 42 |
| 707 Clark Ave | 1.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+20%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $156 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $16,291
- Equity at exit
- $19,913
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $48,419
- Equity at exit
- $22,278
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $79,999 ($84/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 121 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 15675
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $375 | -5% $348 | +0% $322 | +5% $296 | +10% $270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $237 | -5% $280 | +0% $322 | +5% $365 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $342 | base $322 | +0.5pp $303 | +1.0pp $283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 501 Baughman Ave Unit 1 Jeannette, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $725 | $1.07 | 46d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 92d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $59,999
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec new construction — Plan: The Laurel
- Construction
- Living area approximately 910Built as part of The Laurel plan
- Exterior features
- Shake roof
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms
- Interior features
- Microwave
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $75,999 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $75,999 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $75,999 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $75,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $75,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $75,999 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $75,999 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $75,999 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $75,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-28pricedays on market $75,999 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $69,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $69,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $69,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $69,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $69,999 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $69,999 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $69,999 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $69,999 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $69,999 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $69,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $69,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $69,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $69,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $69,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $69,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $69,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $69,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $69,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $69,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $69,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $69,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $69,999 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $69,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $69,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $69,999 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $69,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $69,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $69,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,999 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$1,140
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $2,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand-new single-family home is move-in ready with excellent condition and a smart, efficient layout. It offers a great value for its size and features, making it an attractive option for couples, empty nesters, or anyone looking to start owning.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs. ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers/renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn-Trafford SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218660
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,988
- Composite
- 60.28/100
- National rank
- #855
- State rank
- #27 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Westmoreland · 342,555 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,259
- Household income
- $71,970
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 299.5257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…