1010 Bert Cir · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$69,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
Key facts
- Pantry storage
- Open-concept kitchen
- New construction
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $82 of equity ($484 loan paydown + $-402 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.27%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,664
- List price
- $69,999
- Delta
- -19.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 S 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-1%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 113 1/2 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 870 (-4%) | 1mo | $66,800 | $77 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $19,267
- Equity at exit
- $18,341
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $53,801
- Equity at exit
- $20,519
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15675
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 501 Baughman Ave Unit 1 Jeannette, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $725 | $1.07 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $69,999 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
-
2026-04-09$59,999 Active 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $3,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$829
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand-new single-family home is move-in ready with excellent condition and a smart, efficient layout. It offers a great value for its size and features, making it an attractive option for couples, empty nesters, or anyone looking to start owning.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs.
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs. ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn-Trafford SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218660
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,988
- Composite
- 60.28/100
- National rank
- #855
- State rank
- #27 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,259
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 299.5257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $69,999 Zillow
- 2026-04-09 Listed $59,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…