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1010 Bert Cir
A Composite 86.04
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$69,999

1010 Bert Cir · Penn, PA 15675
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 910 sqft lot $77/sqft · 19% below area Est $87k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates

Key facts

  • Pantry storage
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • New construction

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENPANTRY STORAGEOPTIONAL WASHER DRYER HOOKUPSPRIVATE LOTSLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGNEW CONSTRUCTION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $82 of equity ($484 loan paydown + $-402 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $65,799 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.53%
Cash-on-cash
22.27%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,664
List price
$69,999
Delta
-19.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 S 13th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 900 (-1%) 7mo $85,000 $94 55
113 1/2 13th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 870 (-4%) 1mo $66,800 $77 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$19,267
Equity at exit
$18,341
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$53,801
Equity at exit
$20,519

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15675

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 1.11mi
501 Baughman Ave Unit 1 Jeannette, PA 1.0 1.0 680 $725 $1.07 1d 1 1.37mi
36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 1d 1 1.44mi
508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,999 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    price $69,999 905-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates

  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $59,999 Active 905-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    More space. More comfort. This brand-new 910 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, empty nesters, or anyone ready to start owning. The Laurel delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with two full bathrooms and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows naturally into the dining and living areas, creating a connected, comfortable space that feels far larger than the square footage suggests. The layout includes a pantry, optional washer/dryer hookups, and a dedicated living room that brings the whole home together. ✔ 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Pantry storage included ✔ Optional washer/dryer hookups ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for first-time buyers & downsizers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,873
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,030
− Management
−$1,030
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$829
After-tax cash flow
$3,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new single-family home is move-in ready with excellent condition and a smart, efficient layout. It offers a great value for its size and features, making it an attractive option for couples, empty nesters, or anyone looking to start owning.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn-Trafford SD
NCES district ID
4218660
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,988
Composite
60.28/100
National rank
#855
State rank
#27 of 539 in PA

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,259

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.57%
Current HPI
299.5257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $69,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $59,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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