303 N Ash St · Marcus, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch offering a solid investment opportunity in Marcus. This home has been updated and features convenient main-level living with a functional layout and comfortable room sizes. Exterior features include off-street parking and a manageable lot, making it easy to maintain. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or looking for a future owner-occupant option, this property offers steady income now with flexibility down the road.
Key facts
- Manageable lot
- Off-street parking
- Main-level living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($994 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#130 in IA, #2,373 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Marcus-Meriden-Cleghorn Community School District (rural): math 75% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #102 of 330 in IA (top 31%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $80k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.48%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,970
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -18.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 N Locust St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,182 (+14%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $79 | 64 |
| 201 N Ames St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (-12%) | 10mo | $157,500 | $173 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $4,240
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $25,821
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51035
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $80,000 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch offering a solid investment opportunity in Marcus. This home has been updated and features convenient main-level living with a functional layout and comfortable room sizes. Exterior features include off-street parking and a manageable lot, making it easy to maintain. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or looking for a future owner-occupant option, this property offers steady income now with flexibility down the road.
-
2026-04-18price $89,999 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch offering a solid investment opportunity in Marcus. This home has been updated and features convenient main-level living with a functional layout and comfortable room sizes. Exterior features include off-street parking and a manageable lot, making it easy to maintain. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or looking for a future owner-occupant option, this property offers steady income now with flexibility down the road.
-
2026-03-31price $94,900 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch offering a solid investment opportunity in Marcus. This home has been updated and features convenient main-level living with a functional layout and comfortable room sizes. Exterior features include off-street parking and a manageable lot, making it easy to maintain. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or looking for a future owner-occupant option, this property offers steady income now with flexibility down the road.
-
2026-01-23$99,900 Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch offering a solid investment opportunity in Marcus. This home has been updated and features convenient main-level living with a functional layout and comfortable room sizes. Exterior features include off-street parking and a manageable lot, making it easy to maintain. Whether you're expanding your portfolio or looking for a future owner-occupant option, this property offers steady income now with flexibility down the road.
-
2022-12-06soldstatus $27,500
-
2008-10-16soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,002 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$254/yr (+$21/mo · 34.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$954
- − Management
- −$954
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marcus-Meriden-Cleghorn Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918630
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,764
- Composite
- 64.96/100
- National rank
- #1091
- State rank
- #102 of 330 in IA
Livability — Marcus
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #2373
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marcus, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,664
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,631 people
- By 2030
- 10,077 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 9,015 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 8,175 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 7,192 · -32.3%
- By 2100
- 6,738 · -36.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.8) · D 26.5% · R 72.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -45.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.8 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.828
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+6.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $80,000 NWIA
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $89,999 NWIA
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $94,900 NWIA
- 2026-01-23 Listed $99,900 NWIA
- 2022-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 2008-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $748 · +55.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…