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B+ Composite 75.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

2714 Jerome Ln · Shreveport, LA 71107
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 180 Days on market
Built 1980 7,362 sqft lot $46/sqft · 39% below area Est $106k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Part of 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!

Key facts

  • 7,362 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $855 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.52%
Cap rate
22.08%
Cash-on-cash
56.37%
DSCR
3.51
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,193
List price
$65,000
Delta
-38.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2066 Linear St #10 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,414 (-0%) 7mo $76,000 $54 68
2749 Willis 0.46mi 4/1.5 1,493 (+5%) 13mo $19,000 $13 57
1632 Shepherd Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (+2%) 23mo $155,000 $107 39
1629 Shepherd Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,246 (-12%) 21mo $140,000 $112 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.8%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$43,939
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
59.9%
Equity multiple
6.96×
Total profit
$108,456
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71107

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $860/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $892 -5% $873 +0% $855 +5% $837 +10% $818
Rent -10% $726 -5% $790 +0% $855 +5% $920 +10% $984
Rate -1.0pp $888 -0.5pp $872 base $855 +0.5pp $838 +1.0pp $821

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 171 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 163 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 162 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 161 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 160 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 159 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 158 DOM
  18. 2025-12-23
    listed $65,000 Active 62-char remark
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    Part of 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!

  19. 2004-03-16
    soldstatus
  20. 2003-05-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$860 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$860 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,664
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$860
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,573
− Management
−$1,573
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$9,801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,352
After-tax cash flow
$7,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
31,734
Household income
$48,365
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
1346.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.11%
Current HPI
117.801
Rent YoY
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $65,000 NTREIS
  • 2004-03-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-05-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $860 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…