920 Hicks St · Lonoke, AR 72086

$79,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market

Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot Est $57k · 38% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment property * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS * * * *

Key facts

• 8,712 sq ft lot
• Built 1960
• Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Approximate lot dimensions 75 x 113 (about 0.2 acre); Approximate living area reported as 990 (source: tax records)
• Financial info: Financing available: conventional loan or cash

Exterior

• Parking: Parking pads
• Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electric service (municipal plus Entergy)
• Home design: Single-story (implied); Frame with metal/vinyl siding; Entry facing direction not specified
• Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Frame construction with metal/vinyl siding; Built year not specified
• Exterior features: Level lot in a subdivision; Paved road access; Inside city limits

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen equipment: other (see remarks)
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
• Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Other rooms (see remarks)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $79k).
• Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.7% in Lonoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Lonoke School District (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #146 of 238 in AR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $11k; list at $79k implies a 618% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.81%
• DSCR: 1.75
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $57,420
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
920 Hicks St	0.00mi	3/1.0	990 (0%)	0mo	$25,000	$25	100
220 E Palm St	0.16mi	3/1.0	1,076 (+9%)	0mo	$11,000	$10	78
121 Teresa Ln	0.35mi	3/1.0	1,026 (+4%)	3mo	$63,000	$61	75
512 Brown St	0.25mi	3/1.0	1,073 (+8%)	3mo	$65,000	$61	72
110 Thomas Dr	0.11mi	3/1.0	1,133 (+14%)	4mo	$65,833	$58	67
304 Vasser Ln	0.25mi	3/1.0	1,073 (+8%)	11mo	$62,000	$58	65
517 Pleasant Dr	0.23mi	3/1.0	1,120 (+13%)	5mo	$65,000	$58	63
519 Pleasant Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,080 (+9%)	10mo	$63,000	$58	61
301 Teresa Ln	0.36mi	3/1.5	1,095 (+11%)	4mo	$60,770	$55	60
206 Teresa Ln	0.33mi	3/1.5	1,107 (+12%)	4mo	$65,833	$59	59
214 Teresa Ln	0.33mi	3/1.0	1,124 (+14%)	4mo	$65,833	$59	59
1215 Fairview St	0.36mi	3/1.0	1,135 (+15%)	7mo	$45,000	$40	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.31×
• Total profit: $6,895
• Equity at exit: $11,779

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.41×
• Total profit: $31,269
• Equity at exit: $6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72086

• Home prices YoY: -18.4%
• Active inventory: 61
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $980 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$414
• Tax from tax record: −$17 /mo · $206/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$206
• Net cashflow: $310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $588

Max offer price $79,000

Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $355	-5% $332	+0% $310	+5% $287	+10% $265
Rent	-10% $232	-5% $271	+0% $310	+5% $349	+10% $387
Rate	-1.0pp $350	-0.5pp $330	base $310	+0.5pp $289	+1.0pp $269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,750
• Closing costs: $2,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
311 E Cherry St Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	880	$1,080	$1.23	44d	1	0.21mi
412 E 3rd St Unit 3 Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	44d	1	0.78mi
412 E 3rd St Unit 5 Lonoke, AR	2.0	1.0	900	$800	$0.89	24d	1	0.78mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-02-20
   listed $79,000 New Listing
3. 1986-06-11
   soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $206 · $17/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $506 · $42/mo
• Expected delta: +$300/yr (+$25/mo · 145.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,760
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,425
• − Property taxes: −$206
• − Insurance: −$395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$941
• − Management: −$941
• − Depreciation: −$2,298
• Taxable income: $2,554
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$613
• After-tax cash flow: $3,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lonoke School District
• NCES district ID: 0509060
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,440
• Composite: 26.28/100
• National rank: #7247
• State rank: #146 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lonoke

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #195
• US rank: #15446

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lonoke, AR
• Population (ZIP): 12,250

Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 78,072 people
• By 2030: 80,673 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 84,977 · +8.8%
• By 2050: 87,778 · +12.4%
• By 2075: 91,398 · +17.1%
• By 2100: 87,858 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.46%
• Current HPI: 197.6009
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+618.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — CARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
• 1986-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $206 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.