7424 35th St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming home located in Lubbock, TX, offering a spacious and inviting atmosphere. The property features a well-maintained interior with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Enjoy the open-concept design, modern kitchen and a cozy living area that flows seamlessly for entertaining. The backyard has an optional hot tub providing a serene escape with space for outdoor activities. Custom blinds throughout the home. Both front and backyard are completely done with rock and artificial turf providing a low maintenance landscape. Conveniently located near local amenities and schools. Don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Cozy living area
- Optional hot tub
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Restrictions: None; Possession: Negotiable
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA loan, Other; Second mortgage: none
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Drive-through parking
- Utilities: Electricity available and connected; Community mailbox; Concrete and curbs; Gravel/rock; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Property not attached; Located in Upland Xing subdivision; Built in 2023
- Construction: Composition roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Uncovered courtyard; Pool with separate spa/hot tub; Drive through parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 11) on level 1; Total of 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Room count: 2; Living area listed as 1010
- Laundry & utility: Individual gas meter; Individual water meter
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-708/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 77% / reading 80%, grade A, #48 of 4,322 statewide, top 1%, 583 students, 29% FRL); Frenship Middle (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Frenship H S (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,247 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 613 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-36,525
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -26.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-53,674
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79407
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 613
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,524 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,264/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $-9 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-119 | +0% $-59 | +5% $1 | +10% $61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $29 | -0.5pp $-14 | base $-59 | +0.5pp $-104 | +1.0pp $-150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7420 35th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 7413 35th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,475 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2911 Urbana Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7535 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,395 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7541 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7222 35th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,935 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3518 Turner Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,199 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7324 26th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $850 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7024 40th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7022 40th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6801 19th St Unit 179 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6333 29th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $175,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $175,000 619-char remark
-
2026-02-05$179,999 Active 619-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,264 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,264 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,264
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,463
- − Management
- −$1,463
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$3,675
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This charming home in Lubbock, TX, is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It offers a spacious and inviting atmosphere with an open-concept design and modern kitchen. The property is located near local amenities and schools, making it a great opportunity for investors.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Reorganizing the living room furniture — Improved layout can make the space more functional and visually appealing.
- Both Adding decorative elements to the kitchen and bathrooms — Enhanced decor can make the spaces more inviting and attractive to potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Reorganizing the living room furniture — Improved layout can make the space more functional and visually appealing. ↑
- Both Adding decorative elements to the kitchen and bathrooms — Enhanced decor can make the spaces more inviting and attractive to potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frenship ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819830
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,376
- Composite
- 43.59/100
- National rank
- #2976
- State rank
- #162 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,000
- Household income
- $61,509
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1914.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.87%
- Current HPI
- 229.9895
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.07%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $179,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+105.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,264 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…