220 W Seneca St · Tahlequah, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next fixer upper rebuild project? This quaint little house has been gutted and ready for a contractor or DIY person to buy and go to work. It does have a new roof. Sold in "as is" condition.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Remodeled
- New appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation; HardiPlank-type siding; Wood frame construction
- Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Privacy fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first level); Bedroom (first level)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Granite counters; Vinyl windows; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (inside, first level); Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-272/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.3% in Tahlequah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#124 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities D, commute F.
- Tahlequah (town): math 27% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #109 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $135k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.72%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,904
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 W Seneca St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 1mo | $134,900 | $156 | 94 |
| 410 W Seneca St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 832 (-4%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 264 Workman Ct | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+11%) | 1mo | $138,500 | $144 | 59 |
| 40701 Pendleton St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 868 (+0%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $58 | 59 |
| 210 Northside Ct | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-11%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 206 Northside Ct | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+11%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $70 | 51 |
| 1388 N Vinita Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 783 (-9%) | 18mo | $65,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 419 W Seneca St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 780 (-10%) | 23mo | $125,000 | $160 | 46 |
| 510 N Oak Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 832 (-4%) | 21mo | $65,000 | $78 | 44 |
| 415 W Morgan St | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 804 (-7%) | 13mo | $78,900 | $98 | 43 |
| 640 Oklahoma Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 785 (-9%) | 7mo | $129,900 | $165 | 40 |
| 239 N Northside Ct | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 932 (+8%) | 21mo | $63,000 | $68 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-18,089
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,145
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74464
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $998 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $16 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-101 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-23 | +5% $17 | +10% $56 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $45 | -0.5pp $12 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-58 | +1.0pp $-93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-04-29$134,900 Active
-
2025-04-25soldstatus $30,000 Closed 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Looking for your next fixer upper rebuild project? This quaint little house has been gutted and ready for a contractor or DIY person to buy and go to work. It does have a new roof. Sold in "as is" condition.
-
2025-04-22status Pending 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Looking for your next fixer upper rebuild project? This quaint little house has been gutted and ready for a contractor or DIY person to buy and go to work. It does have a new roof. Sold in "as is" condition.
-
2025-04-21$39,000 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Looking for your next fixer upper rebuild project? This quaint little house has been gutted and ready for a contractor or DIY person to buy and go to work. It does have a new roof. Sold in "as is" condition.
-
2024-09-04soldstatus $102,500
-
2024-04-22soldstatus $55,000 Closed 99-char remark
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Sold "As Is". There is no value in house. The price is for lot and storage room/building.
-
2024-03-01status Pending 99-char remark
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Sold "As Is". There is no value in house. The price is for lot and storage room/building.
-
2023-07-21$75,000 Active 99-char remark
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Sold "As Is". There is no value in house. The price is for lot and storage room/building.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,214 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$649/yr (+$54/mo · 114.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$958
- − Management
- −$958
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$2,665
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$640
- After-tax cash flow
- $368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tahlequah
- NCES district ID
- 4029380
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,990
- Composite
- 21.28/100
- National rank
- #8393
- State rank
- #109 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tahlequah
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #12171
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tahlequah, OK
- County
- Cherokee County · 31,116 people
- City population
- 31,116
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,116
- Household income
- $51,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1058.0
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,747 people
- By 2030
- 53,481 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 56,503 · +9.2%
- By 2050
- 59,370 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 67,178 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 70,900 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.82)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Native American 35% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.7% · R 65.3% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.14%
- Current HPI
- 226.4004
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.23%
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+79.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-29 Listed $134,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-25 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-22 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-21 Listed $39,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
- 2024-04-22 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-03-01 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-07-21 Listed $75,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · -27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…