18900 NE 3rd Ct #509 · Ives Estates, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2-Bedroom, 1-Bathroom Condo for sale in 55+ Community – Motivated Seller! This beautifully maintained first-floor unit offers modern comfort and convenience in a desirable 55+ community (buyer may be any age, but at least 1 occupant must be 55+). Featuring brand-new vinyl flooring, new wood cabinetry, a two-in-one washer & dryer, new water heater, impact windows, central A/C, and an additional ductless mini split system for optimal cooling efficiency. Conveniently located near I-95, 441, Aventura, malls, groceries, banks, public transportation and the beach. Community amenities include a pool, clubhouse, common laundry facilities. 1 assigned parking space. No pets allow
Key facts
- New wood cabinetry
- New water heater
- First-floor unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($274); Association amenities include clubhouse, elevators, laundry facilities and pool; Association fee covers amenities, common areas, cable TV, insurance, laundry, structure maintenance, parking, pool(s), recreation facilities, reserve fund, sewer, security, trash and water; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (one space)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Sewer included in association; Water included in association; Cable TV included in association; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Attached property; Condominium in a 4-story building; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Awnings; Balcony; Patio; Screened patio/balcony; Lakefront location; Has a view; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Impact-resistant windows; Bedroom on main level; Breakfast area; First-floor entry; Open living/dining area; Main living area on entry level
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 3.6% in Ives Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in FL, #3,061 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,160/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $125k implies a 481% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.43%
- DSCR
- 3.15
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $34,381
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $79,221
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$274
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$664
- Net cashflow
- $986
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $274 · $3,288/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-15status $125,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $125,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-05-19price $130,000
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-04-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-10price $120,000
-
2025-10-22price $160,000
-
2025-10-21$180,000 Active
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2024-11-15$198,000
-
2024-08-31historical
-
2024-06-03$190,000
-
2024-05-31historical
-
2024-04-01$193,000
-
2024-03-31historical
-
2024-01-08$199,500
-
2023-12-31historical
-
2023-11-03$215,000
-
2023-07-31historical
-
2023-06-22$220,000
-
1995-03-28soldstatus $21,500
-
1989-12-05soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,225
- − Insurance
- −$5,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,033
- − Management
- −$3,033
- − HOA
- −$3,288
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $10,954
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ives Estates
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #3061
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 51,591
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+602.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $130,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $120,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $160,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $180,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-11-15 Listed $198,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-08-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-06-03 Listed $190,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-01 Listed $193,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-03-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-01-08 Listed $199,500 Beaches MLS
- 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-11-03 Listed $215,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-07-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-06-22 Listed $220,000 Beaches MLS
- 1995-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
- 1989-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,225 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…