1007 E Prospect St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 177 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-438/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in York — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hannah Penn (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,516 of 1,518 statewide, top 100%, 679 students, 100% FRL); Edgar Fahs Smith Steam Academy (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 240 students, 100% FRL); William Penn Shs (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #407 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 1,534 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $135k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.16%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,784
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -14.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 838 E Maple St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-2%) | 9mo | $136,000 | $173 | 74 |
| 339 Fredrick Ct | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+12%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $167 | 68 |
| 321 Fredrick Ct | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+12%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $154 | 65 |
| 734 Edison St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (-4%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $201 | 64 |
| 326 Frederick Ct | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 896 (+12%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 1227 E Prospect St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $236 | 56 |
| 1145 Springdale Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+8%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $233 | 54 |
| 1213 E Prospect St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 24mo | $160,000 | $222 | 54 |
| 1212 E Jackson St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (+14%) | 11mo | $153,000 | $169 | 52 |
| 320 Fredrick Ct | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+12%) | 23mo | $134,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 1713 6th Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+5%) | 16mo | $220,000 | $262 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-22,452
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-15,239
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $2 | +0% $-36 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-36 | +5% $9 | +10% $55 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $-2 | base $-36 | +0.5pp $-71 | +1.0pp $-107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728 E Princess St Apt 3 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $995 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 606 E Market St Unit 1STFLRREAR York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 347 E King St Unit 1 York, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 164 S Pine St York, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $825 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 208 Liberty Ct York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 446 Wallace St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,295 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 327 E Philadelphia St Unit 1st Floor York, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $750 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 232 E Market St York, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,299 | $2.00 | 15d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 443 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,225 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 231 Franklin Way York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 28 N George St York, PA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 132 S Beaver St Apt 4 York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 49 W Market St Unit 1R York, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $950 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 49 W Market St Unit 2 R York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $975 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 251 N George St York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 175 W Gay Ave York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 15d | 2 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $134,900 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
-
2026-02-20price $137,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
-
2026-01-08price $139,900 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
-
2025-12-16price $149,900 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
-
2025-12-03$159,900 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.
-
2017-06-29soldstatus $30,800 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.
-
2017-06-02historical 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.
-
2017-04-21$35,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.
-
2009-03-04soldstatus $72,340
-
2009-02-27soldstatus $72,340
-
2009-01-13$69,900
-
1998-09-01soldstatus $58,900
-
1993-09-01soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,304 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,304 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,962
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,304
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,117
- − Management
- −$1,117
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$2,731
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+157.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $137,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-06-29 Sold (MLS) $30,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-06-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-04-21 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,340 Public Records
- 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $72,340 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-01-13 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,304 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…