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1007 E Prospect St
D Composite 43.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

1007 E Prospect St · York, PA 17403
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 178 Days on market
Built 1940 3,049 sqft lot $169/sqft · 15% below area Est $158k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 177 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-438/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (4.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in York — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
  • York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hannah Penn (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,516 of 1,518 statewide, top 100%, 679 students, 100% FRL); Edgar Fahs Smith Steam Academy (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 240 students, 100% FRL); William Penn Shs (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #407 of 437 statewide, top 94%, 1,534 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $135k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,346 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.16%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,784
List price
$134,900
Delta
-14.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
838 E Maple St 0.33mi 2/1.0 784 (-2%) 9mo $136,000 $173 74
339 Fredrick Ct 0.20mi 2/1.0 896 (+12%) 3mo $150,000 $167 68
321 Fredrick Ct 0.26mi 2/1.0 896 (+12%) 3mo $138,000 $154 65
734 Edison St 0.43mi 2/1.0 770 (-4%) 12mo $155,000 $201 64
326 Frederick Ct 0.25mi 2/1.5 896 (+12%) 10mo $145,000 $162 58
1227 E Prospect St 0.22mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 20mo $170,000 $236 56
1145 Springdale Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 860 (+8%) 12mo $200,000 $233 54
1213 E Prospect St 0.20mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 24mo $160,000 $222 54
1212 E Jackson St 0.35mi 2/1.0 908 (+14%) 11mo $153,000 $169 52
320 Fredrick Ct 0.27mi 2/1.0 896 (+12%) 23mo $134,000 $150 48
1713 6th Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 840 (+5%) 16mo $220,000 $262 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-22,452
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,239
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17403

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,304/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210
Max offer price $128,458
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $40 -5% $2 +0% $-36 +5% $-75 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-82 +0% $-36 +5% $9 +10% $55
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $-2 base $-36 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
728 E Princess St Apt 3 York, PA 2.0 1.0 822 $995 $1.21 45d 1 0.35mi
40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 0.62mi
606 E Market St Unit 1STFLRREAR York, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 15d 1 0.62mi
347 E King St Unit 1 York, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 45d 1 0.79mi
164 S Pine St York, PA 1.0 1.0 620 $825 $1.33 45d 1 0.83mi
208 Liberty Ct York, PA 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,195 $1.09 45d 1 0.88mi
446 Wallace St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,295 $1.19 23d 1 0.88mi
327 E Philadelphia St Unit 1st Floor York, PA 1.0 1.0 550 $750 $1.36 15d 1 0.93mi
232 E Market St York, PA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,299 $2.00 15d 2 0.95mi
443 S Duke St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,225 $1.19 45d 1 0.99mi
231 Franklin Way York, PA 3.0 1.0 920 $1,195 $1.30 15d 1 1.07mi
28 N George St York, PA 1.0 1.5 990 $1,295 $1.31 45d 1 1.24mi
132 S Beaver St Apt 4 York, PA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 45d 1 1.27mi
49 W Market St Unit 1R York, PA 1.0 1.0 536 $950 $1.77 45d 1 1.30mi
49 W Market St Unit 2 R York, PA 2.0 1.0 788 $975 $1.24 15d 1 1.30mi
251 N George St York, PA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 15d 1 1.33mi
175 W Gay Ave York, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1219 $1,650 $1.35 15d 2 1.46mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-04-28
    price $134,900 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

  3. 2026-02-20
    price $137,000 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

  4. 2026-01-08
    price $139,900 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

  5. 2025-12-16
    price $149,900 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

  6. 2025-12-03
    listed $159,900 Active 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Detached one-level home located close to downtown York and all East City amenities. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with the tenant paying $1,200 per month. The landlord covers trash, while the tenant is responsible for all other utilities. This property is ideal for anyone looking to take over a solid, turnkey rental or for buyers seeking simple and convenient first-floor living.

  7. 2017-06-29
    soldstatus $30,800 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.

  8. 2017-06-02
    historical 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.

  9. 2017-04-21
    listed $35,000 154-char remark
    Show marketing remark (154 chars)

    HUD Owned - Cozy single family home located on the East end of York City. offering wood floors, off street parking, shed, covered porch plus so much more.

  10. 2009-03-04
    soldstatus $72,340
  11. 2009-02-27
    soldstatus $72,340
  12. 2009-01-13
    listed $69,900
  13. 1998-09-01
    soldstatus $58,900
  14. 1993-09-01
    soldstatus $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,304 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,304 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,962
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,304
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$2,731
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$655
After-tax cash flow
$218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York City SD
NCES district ID
4226820
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$29,470
Composite
7.61/100
National rank
#9943
State rank
#534 of 539 in PA

Livability — York

Score
75/100
State rank
#427
US rank
#3987

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
York, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
City population
184,764
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
40,287
Household income
$75,384
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.51%
Current HPI
284.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $137,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-29 Sold (MLS) $30,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-21 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,340 Public Records
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $72,340 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-13 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,304 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…