533 Wheeland Rd · Leamersville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Duncansville area 1 story home on . 86 acre lot with loads of livings space. First floor with large living room, dining room, oak kitchen, 3 bedrooms and bath. Basement has huge great room with adjoining secondary kitchen plus 3 bonus rooms and 1/2 bath. 2 car detached garage with storage loft, large covered rear patio and more! Needs TLC. Due to condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement and the property may only be shown by appointment. May qualify for seller financing (Vendee). Buyer pays both transfer taxes
Key facts
- Secondary kitchen
- Oak kitchen
- Bonus rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Spring Cove SD (town): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #344 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.16%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,021
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -41.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,093
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $27,569
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16635
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,941/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-11$110,000 Active 602-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,941
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,232/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Cove SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222530
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,105
- Composite
- 34.88/100
- National rank
- #5083
- State rank
- #344 of 539 in PA
Livability — Leamersville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leamersville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,115
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.69%
- Current HPI
- 258.7396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $110,000 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,941 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…