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608 Green St
B- Composite 67.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$95,000

608 Green St · Selma, AL 36703
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,525 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1976 6,481 sqft lot $62/sqft · 144% above area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,481 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1976

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.5% in Selma — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#407 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Selma City (town): math 2% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #118 of 129 in AL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clark Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 137 students, 92% FRL); The Rbhudson Steam Academy (math 2% / reading 23%, grade F, #216 of 257 statewide, top 86%, 349 students, 90% FRL); Selma High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 719 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.11%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,886
List price
$95,000
Delta
144.30%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1313 Saint Phillips St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,563 (+2%) 17mo $20,000 $13 64
414 Tremont St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,614 (+6%) 13mo $62,000 $38 60
510 Selma Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,580 (+4%) 1mo $12,500 $8 56
813 Arsenal Pl 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,436 (-6%) 8mo $45,000 $31 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$67,382
Equity at exit
$85,584
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
7.99×
Total profit
$186,020
Equity at exit
$184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36703

Home prices YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $368/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $720
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $273 +0% $246 +5% $219 +10% $192
Rent -10% $165 -5% $205 +0% $246 +5% $287 +10% $328
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $270 base $246 +0.5pp $222 +1.0pp $197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 114 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 112 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    price $95,000
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $100,000
  20. 2026-02-06
    listed $105,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$368 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$390 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$22/yr (+$2/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,374
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$368
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$990
− Management
−$990
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,466
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$352
After-tax cash flow
$2,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selma City
NCES district ID
0102970
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$23,380
Composite
9.07/100
National rank
#9870
State rank
#118 of 129 in AL

Livability — Selma

Score
56/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#22550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Selma, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,489

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,464 people
By 2030
32,631 · -8.0%
By 2040
27,246 · -23.2%
By 2050
22,691 · -36.0%
By 2075
14,867 · -58.1%
By 2100
10,285 · -71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 26% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.5) · D 65.9% · R 33.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 32.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.5 2020: D+37.5 2016: D+37.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.24%
Current HPI
164.88
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $95,000 MAAR
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $100,000 MAAR
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $105,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $368 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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