116 Randall Cir · Clanton, AL 35045

$172,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,084 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market

Built 1978 0.50 ac lot $159/sqft · at area comps Est $173k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.7/15.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Newly updated three bedroom HOME on a nice corner lot! Freshly painted inside and out and lots of updates. Allergy free tile flooring throughout. Great price and location convenient to everything!

Key facts

• Freshly painted
• Corner lot
• 0.5 acre lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• ALLERGY FREE TILE FLOORING
• FRESHLY PAINTED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($940/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (18.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $141k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Clanton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 55%, grade D-, #164 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 1,028 students, 67% FRL); Clanton Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #188 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 478 students, 74% FRL); Chilton County High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 783 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $141,431 (18.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.95%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $173,221
• List price: $172,500
• Delta: -0.42%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
101 Randall Cir	0.12mi	3/1.0	1,175 (+8%)	10mo	$175,000	$149	72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-23,034
• Equity at exit: $25,720

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-13,927
• Equity at exit: $14,915

Cash invested: $48,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35045

• Home prices YoY: -25.8%
• Active inventory: 125
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,414 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$905
• Tax from tax record: −$62 /mo · $749/yr
• Insurance: −$72
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$297
• Net cashflow: $78

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,315

Max offer price $172,500

Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $176	-5% $127	+0% $78	+5% $30	+10% $-19
Rent	-10% $-33	-5% $22	+0% $78	+5% $134	+10% $190
Rate	-1.0pp $165	-0.5pp $122	base $78	+0.5pp $34	+1.0pp $-12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,125
• Closing costs: $5,175
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $172,500 Active 65 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $172,500 Active 62 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $172,500 Active 61 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $172,500 Active 60 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $172,500 Active 59 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $172,500 Active 57 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $172,500 Active 56 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $172,500 Active 54 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $172,500 Active 53 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $172,500 Active 52 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $172,500 Active 51 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
16. 2026-04-16
    listed $175,000 Active 196-char remark

    Show marketing remark (196 chars)

    Newly updated three bedroom HOME on a nice corner lot! Freshly painted inside and out and lots of updates. Allergy free tile flooring throughout. Great price and location convenient to everything!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $749 · $62/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $749 · $62/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,972
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,663
• − Property taxes: −$749
• − Insurance: −$862
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,358
• − Management: −$1,358
• − Depreciation: −$5,018
• Taxable loss: −$2,037
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$489
• After-tax cash flow: $1,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Chilton County
• NCES district ID: 0100660
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -26.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $41,269
• Composite: 20.73/100
• National rank: #8520
• State rank: #94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clanton

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #259
• US rank: #18072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Clanton, AL
• County: Chilton County · 15,324 people
• City population: 15,324
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• Population (ZIP): 15,324
• Household income: $65,907
• Rent vs Own: 28.3% rent · 71.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 326.0

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 44,064 people
• By 2030: 43,694 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 42,168 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 39,667 · -10.0%
• By 2075: 31,397 · -28.7%
• By 2100: 21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.21%
• Current HPI: 187.6339
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Listed $175,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $749 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.