1781 Franklin Rd #36 · Yuba City, CA 95993

$38,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 670 sqft · Manufactured · 79 Days on market

Built 1969

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is located in a quiet, friendly community and offers a comfortable place to move right in, with the opportunity to make it your own over time. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home provides a solid starting point with great potential. The open floor plan is functional and inviting, and while the home could benefit from a few updates, it's clean, livable, and full of charm. The kitchen and living areas are ready for your personal touch, and the private yard offers space to relax, garden, or enjoy your morning coffee. With a little effort, this home could shine even more! Conveniently located near shops, schools, and easy highwa

Key facts

• Near schools
• Open floor plan
• Private yard

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• PRIVATE YARD
• NEAR SHOPS
• NEAR SCHOOLS
• EASY HIGHWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: North on HWY 99, left on Franklin Rd, turn right into the park, keep right.
• HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community; Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present)

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volts available in laundry
• Home design: Manufactured in-park home; Single wide; Built in 1969; Located at 1781 Franklin Rd #36, Yuba City, CA
• Construction: Fleetwood manufactured home; Wood skirting
• Exterior features: Fence; Foam roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Pantry cabinet; Laminate counter
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Tub with shower over
• Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Other heating
• Interior features: Deck attached to the living area; Pantry cabinet in the kitchen; Laminate counter in the kitchen; Breakfast nook
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups only; 220V outlet in laundry area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
• Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 45.2% vs local median 3.6% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, cost of living F.
• Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $35,720 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.98% ✓
• Cap rate: 45.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 138.96%
• DSCR: 7.18
• GRM: 1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 7.80×
• Total profit: $72,345
• Equity at exit: $5,666

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 16.43×
• Total profit: $164,161
• Equity at exit: $3,286

Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95993

• Active inventory: 176
• Price-to-rent: 1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,892 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$199
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$48 /mo · $570/yr
• Insurance: −$16
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$397
• Net cashflow: $1,232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $332

Max offer price $38,000

Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,500
• Closing costs: $1,140
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
946 S Barrett Rd Unit 4 Yuba City, CA	2.0	1.0	700	$1,300	$1.86	44d	1	1.38mi
946 S Barrett Rd Unit 3 Yuba City, CA	2.0	1.0	700	$1,350	$1.93	44d	1	1.38mi
1341 Dustin Dr Yuba City, CA	2.0	1.0	750	$1,650	$2.20	13d	4	1.42mi
1351 Dustin Dr Unit 45 Yuba City, CA	2.0	1.0	750	$1,400	$1.87	44d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-31
   status $38,000 Active 79 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,705
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,129
• − Property taxes: −$570
• − Insurance: −$190
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,816
• − Management: −$1,816
• − Depreciation: −$1,105
• Taxable income: $15,078
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,619
• After-tax cash flow: $11,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Yuba City Unified
• NCES district ID: 0643470
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $50,923
• Composite: 31.55/100
• National rank: #5956
• State rank: #263 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yuba City

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #111
• US rank: #3863

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Yuba City, CA
• County: Sutter County · 81,625 people
• City population: 81,625
• Metro: Yuba City, CA
• Population (ZIP): 39,046
• Household income: $93,763
• Rent vs Own: 31.1% rent · 68.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 738.0

Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 97,244 people
• By 2030: 97,170 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 96,137 · -1.1%
• By 2050: 93,604 · -3.7%
• By 2075: 85,008 · -12.6%
• By 2100: 71,584 · -26.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 12% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Russian 1%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Other Indo-European 20% Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sutter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -280.05%
• Current HPI: 210.9131
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Yuba City, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B