6885 NE 5th St · Silver Springs, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Home will not last long in Ocala Heights. Home features 3br, 2ba, with range, refrigerator, washer & dryer. Sitting on a little over . 22 acres. NEW A/C and Flooring in 2023. Window replaced in 2013. All topped off with a metal roof. Huge lanai 12 x 24 great for all the family gatherings. Nice back yard with 3 sheds for all your lawn care needs. Close to shopping, restaurants and family activities.
Key facts
- Ac system installed
- 3 storage sheds
- Fenced in yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; No lease restrictions noted; Universal property ID available
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured double wide home; Residential property; One level; Faces west; Homestead exempt
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot
- Exterior features: Storage; Chain link fencing; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.2% in Silver Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.80%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,632
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6786 NE 5th Pl | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,243 (+8%) | 6mo | $118,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 9 SE 70th Cir | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (+1%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 6500 NE 3rd St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,244 (+8%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $116 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,028
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $11,474
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34470
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,887/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6858 NE 2nd Loop Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6859 NE 1st Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6772 NE 1st St Unit Na Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 600 NE 63rd Ct Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 785 | $1,295 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 15 NE 63rd Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1503 Peachtree Ln Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 392-char remark
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $120,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 352-char remark
-
2026-06-07$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,887 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,887 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,887
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$611
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,443
- Household income
- $52,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 771.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.74%
- Current HPI
- 242.686
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.07%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+380.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2024-07-22 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-25 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1982-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,887 · +476.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…