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133 Brookhaven Ln
D Composite 43.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

133 Brookhaven Ln · McDonough, GA 30253
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 208 Days on market
Built 1994 0.70 ac lot $133/sqft · 8% below area Est $326k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller- This is a traditional 4BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is 1 BR on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

Key facts

  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Formal dining room
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

LARGE EAT-IN KITCHENHUGE FAMILY ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMFENCED IN BACKYARDDURABLE SHEDWELCOMING PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($649/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in McDonough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#279 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Walnut Creek Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #936 of 1,228 statewide, top 79%, 716 students, 65% FRL); Eagle'S Landing Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,092 students, 59% FRL); Eagle'S Landing High School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 1,642 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 682 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $300k implies a 689% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,348 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.77%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$326,007
List price
$300,000
Delta
-7.98%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9135 Woodhaven Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 2,118 (-6%) 3mo $313,000 $148 65
155 Leland Ln 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,306 (+3%) 1mo $325,000 $141 61
8240 Knollbrook Ln 0.13mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,468 (+10%) 13mo $445,000 $180 60
171 Leland Ln 0.63mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,305 (+2%) 2mo $312,000 $135 60
1285 Lake Forest Ln 0.64mi 3/2.5 2,138 (-5%) 7mo $313,000 $146 56
1305 Lake Forest Ln 0.60mi 3/2.5 2,142 (-5%) 10mo $489,000 $228 56
409 Hyder Ct 0.65mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,076 (-8%) 5mo $280,000 $135 48
326 Satie Creek Way 0.66mi 3/2.0 2,067 (-8%) 8mo $270,000 $131 47
1356 Lake Forest Ln 0.56mi 3/2.5 2,526 (+12%) 8mo $385,000 $152 46
96 Daniel Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,916 (-15%) 12mo $342,000 $178 46
175 Leland Ln 0.64mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,054 (-9%) 8mo $279,500 $136 44
301 Leland Ct 0.71mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,102 (-6%) 9mo $315,000 $150 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-52,095
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-67,733
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30253

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
682
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,313 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $904/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,245
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $224 -5% $139 +0% $54 +5% $-31 +10% $-116
Rent -10% $-129 -5% $-37 +0% $54 +5% $146 +10% $237
Rate -1.0pp $205 -0.5pp $130 base $54 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
152 Tyre Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2430 $2,573 $1.06 45d 1 0.39mi
125 Leland Ln McDonough, GA 4.0 2.0 1852 $2,200 $1.19 12d 1 0.61mi
291 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2570 $2,580 $1.00 7d 1 0.62mi
307 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2570 $2,555 $0.99 12d 1 0.64mi
196 Leland Ln McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1930 $2,145 $1.11 26d 1 0.68mi
324 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2410 $2,430 $1.01 45d 1 0.69mi
449 Culloden Moor Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2410 $2,595 $1.08 7d 1 0.72mi
380 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 2570 $2,535 $0.99 3d 1 0.75mi
101 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2097 $2,320 $1.11 46d 1 0.78mi
151 Hamilton Pointe Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2097 $2,470 $1.18 7d 1 0.84mi
1138 Dunaway Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1737 $1,795 $1.03 45d 1 1.09mi
1146 Dunaway Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,779 $0.96 45d 1 1.09mi
108 Rankin Cir McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 1980 $2,051 $1.04 14d 1 1.11mi
100 Agee Ln McDonough, GA 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 2151 $2,682 $1.25 1d 10 1.23mi
608 Waterford Ln McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,939 $1.38 12d 1 1.29mi
310 Lakefront Dr McDonough, GA 4.0 2.0 2568 $2,345 $0.91 14d 1 1.38mi
262 White Mountain Pass McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,719 $1.12 23d 1 1.38mi
915 Castlerock Way McDonough, GA 4.0 3.0 1944 $2,245 $1.15 7d 1 1.38mi
644 Highway 155 N McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 1649 $1,793 $1.09 1d 1 1.40mi
685 Chaseridge Dr McDonough, GA 3.0 2.0 2155 $2,155 $1.00 12d 1 1.42mi
511 Gables Ct McDonough, GA 4.0 2.5 2352 $2,165 $0.92 20d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $300,000 Pending 208 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 206 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 205 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 204 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 203 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 202 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    price $300,000 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  8. 2026-05-20
    price $300,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  9. 2026-04-21
    price $319,999 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  10. 2026-03-06
    price $325,000 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  11. 2026-03-06
    price $325,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  12. 2025-12-01
    price $330,000 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  13. 2025-12-01
    price $330,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  14. 2025-11-10
    listed $350,000 Active 647-char remark
    Show marketing remark (647 chars)

    Motivated Seller- This is a traditional 4BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is 1 BR on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  15. 2025-11-06
    listed $350,000 New 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Motivated Seller-This is a traditional 3BR/ 2.5 Bath 2 story home that has been very well maintained. It offers a large eat-in kitchen. There is a huge family room with fireplace situated perfectly for warm family gatherings. The formal sep dining room is located just off the kitchen. There is a bonus room on the main that could be used as an in-law suite or office. There are 3 expansive BR's upstairs. This home has a fenced in backyard with a nice durable shed. There is a welcoming porch in the front. Also, All 23 windows are new recently replaced and all exterior wood siding boards have also been recently replaced...Please view this home asap.....

  16. 1994-06-20
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$904 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,760 · $230/mo
Expected delta
+$1,856/yr (+$155/mo · 205.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,762
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$904
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,221
− Management
−$2,221
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$4,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$1,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — McDonough

Score
63/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#14962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
114,333
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
64,779
Household income
$81,892
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
2591.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 61% White 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.51%
Current HPI
210.679
Rent YoY
▼ -0.35%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+689.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $300,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $300,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $319,999 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $325,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $325,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $330,000 FMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $330,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $350,000 FMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $350,000 GAMLS
  • 1994-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $904 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…