206 E First St · Emmet, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1932
- Listed 84 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#350 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Blevins School District (rural): math 22% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #195 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Nevada County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $60k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.60%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $34,445
- Equity at exit
- $26,934
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.03×
- Total profit
- $84,430
- Equity at exit
- $41,508
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71835
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,006 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $332/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $445 | +0% $428 | +5% $411 | +10% $394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $348 | -5% $388 | +0% $428 | +5% $467 | +10% $507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $443 | base $428 | +0.5pp $412 | +1.0pp $396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-26status Back on Market 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
-
2026-03-24historical 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
-
2026-03-24historical
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
-
2026-02-26$59,900 New Listing 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
-
2026-02-26$59,900 New Listing
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Call Dustin Reynolds To View/ Show 214-548-7996
-
2022-10-21soldstatus $38,000
-
1990-02-26soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $332 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $383 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$51/yr (+$4/mo · 15.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$332
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blevins School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503300
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,873
- Composite
- 19.62/100
- National rank
- #8745
- State rank
- #195 of 238 in AR
Livability — Emmet
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #21937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Emmet, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,127
Population outlook (Nevada County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,890 people
- By 2030
- 7,473 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 6,681 · -15.3%
- By 2050
- 6,034 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 5,068 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 4,689 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 14% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Hungarian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nevada
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -16.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+16.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+343.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $59,900 CARMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $59,900 CARMLS
- 2022-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1990-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $332 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…