5503 Rue St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 4 bedroom 2 bath home on a quiet street. Garage has been converted to a bedroom and a full bath. Living room has nice hardwoods and a service portal from the kitchen . Good size fence backyard is great for pets and gardeners. Please come see for yourself. Hurry will not last long!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Hardwoods
- Converted garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $897 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,748/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.90%
- DSCR
- 3.44
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,491
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5527 Lakefield Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $171 | 72 |
| 5234 Wilmington St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (-8%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $62 | 70 |
| 8918 Vinearbor St | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $171 | 69 |
| 9211 Vinearbor St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-11%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $151 | 68 |
| 4817 Wenda St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,310 (-2%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $65 | 64 |
| 5614 Flamingo Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+1%) | 7mo | $209,900 | $155 | 60 |
| 5217 Pederson St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (-14%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $155 | 59 |
| 4918 Carmen St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (-6%) | 1mo | $213,000 | $169 | 56 |
| 5746 Groveton St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $108 | 56 |
| 4826 Airport Blvd | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-6%) | 6mo | $164,900 | $131 | 48 |
| 5602 Beldart St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (-12%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 44 |
| 5243 Greylog Dr | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,479 (+10%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $101 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $50,213
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $136,419
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $897
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1611 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5458 Osprey Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $1,595 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10902 Faircroft Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,480 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5426 Greylog Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11319 Murr Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1213 | $1,699 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,324 | $1.13 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,113 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 5659 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,113 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,313 | $1.13 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 421 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,089 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,089 | $1.03 | 7d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3187 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,281 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,081 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4538 Clover St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,595 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6103 El Granate Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1755 | $1,585 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6107 El Granate Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,000 | $0.84 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-14$70,000 Active
-
2019-12-11soldstatus
-
2019-06-20soldstatus
-
2019-03-11historical
-
2018-10-15status Active
-
2018-08-29status Pending
-
2018-08-22status Pending
-
2018-08-20historical
-
2018-08-16status Active
-
2018-08-09status Pending
-
2018-07-16$69,900 Active
-
2018-06-07soldstatus
-
2018-05-07soldstatus
-
2017-03-20historical
-
2017-02-21price $35,000
-
2017-02-16$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $10,257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,462
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+75.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2019-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-03-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2018-10-15 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2018-08-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-08-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-08-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2018-08-16 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2018-08-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-07-16 Listed $69,900 HARMLS
- 2018-06-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-03-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2017-02-21 Price Changed $35,000 HARMLS
- 2017-02-16 Listed $40,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,536 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…