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2230 Wilkens Ave
B- Composite 68.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

2230 Wilkens Ave · Baltimore, MD 21223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · Townhouse public records · 258 Days on market
Built 1920 1,120 sqft lot $117/sqft · 168% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on Market at no fault to seller! Will not last! Attention savvy investors! Don’t miss your chance to acquire this beautifully renovated rowhome, currently rented by a stable tenant who pays $1,250 a month, ensuring immediate cash flow from day one! Step inside and be captivated by the airy living room, drenched in natural light and perfect for cozy gatherings or entertaining guests. The seamless flow from the dining area to the modern kitchen makes this space both functional and inviting, ideal for today’s lifestyle. Upstairs, discover three spacious bedrooms, each featuring large windows that flood the rooms with sunlight, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—transform it into bonus rooms, a home gym, or additional storage to maximize your investment. With its stylish modern finishes and classic Baltimore exposed brick charm, this property not only stands out but also offers tremendous long-term value.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Airy living room
  • Renovated rowhome

Tags

RENOVATED ROWHOMEAIRY LIVING ROOMMODERN KITCHENUNFINISHED BASEMENTBALTIMORE EXPOSED BRICK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $119k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,332
List price
$119,000
Delta
168.43%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
528 S Bentalou St 0.05mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,032 (+1%) 0mo $190,000 $184 82
2130 Eagle St 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 2mo $78,110 $78 82
2402 Wilkens Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (+7%) 0mo $45,000 $41 77
2408 Wilkens Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+7%) 2mo $99,900 $91 76
205 S Bentalou St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+6%) 5mo $38,500 $36 74
2008 Wilkens Ave 0.19mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,100 (+8%) 4mo $145,000 $132 68
1910 W Fayette St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,020 (0%) 4mo $39,000 $38 66
420 S Smallwood St 0.12mi 3/3.5 910 (-11%) 4mo $100,000 $110 63
305 S Calhoun St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-1%) 4mo $40,000 $40 62
43 Wheeler Ave N 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+12%) 3mo $34,000 $30 50
1404 Lemmon St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+8%) 1mo $189,000 $172 48
1927 Penrose Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+15%) 4mo $40,000 $34 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$25,824
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$105,987
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21223

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,671 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $744/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$584

Break-even live

Break-even rent $931
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 S Payson St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1264 $1,750 $1.38 44d 1 0.18mi
307 S Smallwood St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,350 $0.96 44d 1 0.20mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 11d 1 0.22mi
2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,800 $1.34 44d 1 0.22mi
2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1248 $1,699 $1.36 3d 1 0.23mi
2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 0.34mi
332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 776 $795 $1.02 24d 1 0.39mi
2671 Saint Benedict St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1144 $1,325 $1.16 44d 1 0.40mi
110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1330 $1,500 $1.13 44d 1 0.40mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,000 $0.95 44d 1 0.40mi
2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,600 $1.33 24d 1 0.47mi
2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,875 $1.50 24d 1 0.50mi
2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1183 $1,500 $1.27 44d 1 0.52mi
2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.52mi
2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 24d 1 0.52mi
2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,650 $1.34 4d 1 0.52mi
1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,434 $1.67 44d 1 0.54mi
1912 W Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,100 $1.75 24d 1 0.54mi
62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 18d 1 0.58mi
1635 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,850 $1.51 44d 1 0.61mi
1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1426 $1,675 $1.17 24d 1 0.62mi
1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 4d 1 0.67mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 22d 1 0.68mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.76mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.76mi
2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 24d 1 0.77mi
1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1258 $1,850 $1.47 24d 1 0.77mi
1303 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1160 $1,350 $1.16 24d 1 0.78mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,860 $1.70 4d 1 0.79mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,950 $1.78 12d 1 0.79mi
1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 44d 1 0.80mi
1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 912 $1,900 $2.08 44d 1 0.80mi
1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 22d 1 0.80mi
1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1340 $1,900 $1.42 4d 1 0.83mi
10 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 24d 1 0.84mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 1232 $2,400 $1.95 4d 1 0.85mi
1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 24d 1 0.85mi
1215 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 44d 1 0.85mi
1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1232 $2,999 $2.43 4d 1 0.86mi
1519 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,875 $1.56 44d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 256 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 255 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 249 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 248 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 244 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 243 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 242 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 241 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 240 DOM
  14. 2026-02-02
    price $119,000 996-char remark
    Show marketing remark (996 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault to seller! Will not last! Attention savvy investors! Don’t miss your chance to acquire this beautifully renovated rowhome, currently rented by a stable tenant who pays $1,250 a month, ensuring immediate cash flow from day one! Step inside and be captivated by the airy living room, drenched in natural light and perfect for cozy gatherings or entertaining guests. The seamless flow from the dining area to the modern kitchen makes this space both functional and inviting, ideal for today’s lifestyle. Upstairs, discover three spacious bedrooms, each featuring large windows that flood the rooms with sunlight, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—transform it into bonus rooms, a home gym, or additional storage to maximize your investment. With its stylish modern finishes and classic Baltimore exposed brick charm, this property not only stands out but also offers tremendous long-term value.

  15. 2025-10-23
    price $125,000 996-char remark
    Show marketing remark (996 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault to seller! Will not last! Attention savvy investors! Don’t miss your chance to acquire this beautifully renovated rowhome, currently rented by a stable tenant who pays $1,250 a month, ensuring immediate cash flow from day one! Step inside and be captivated by the airy living room, drenched in natural light and perfect for cozy gatherings or entertaining guests. The seamless flow from the dining area to the modern kitchen makes this space both functional and inviting, ideal for today’s lifestyle. Upstairs, discover three spacious bedrooms, each featuring large windows that flood the rooms with sunlight, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—transform it into bonus rooms, a home gym, or additional storage to maximize your investment. With its stylish modern finishes and classic Baltimore exposed brick charm, this property not only stands out but also offers tremendous long-term value.

  16. 2025-10-03
    listed $132,000 Active 996-char remark
    Show marketing remark (996 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault to seller! Will not last! Attention savvy investors! Don’t miss your chance to acquire this beautifully renovated rowhome, currently rented by a stable tenant who pays $1,250 a month, ensuring immediate cash flow from day one! Step inside and be captivated by the airy living room, drenched in natural light and perfect for cozy gatherings or entertaining guests. The seamless flow from the dining area to the modern kitchen makes this space both functional and inviting, ideal for today’s lifestyle. Upstairs, discover three spacious bedrooms, each featuring large windows that flood the rooms with sunlight, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The unfinished basement offers incredible potential—transform it into bonus rooms, a home gym, or additional storage to maximize your investment. With its stylish modern finishes and classic Baltimore exposed brick charm, this property not only stands out but also offers tremendous long-term value.

  17. 2025-09-30
    historical
  18. 2025-09-23
    status Active
  19. 2025-08-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2025-08-15
    price $132,000
  21. 2025-08-08
    listed $135,000 Active
  22. 2005-03-11
    soldstatus $30,000
  23. 2005-02-01
    historical
  24. 2005-01-26
    listed $22,500
  25. 2000-12-30
    historical
  26. 2000-06-01
    listed
  27. 1997-12-04
    soldstatus $39,900
  28. 1996-09-03
    soldstatus $11,550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$744 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,020 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 37.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,048
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$744
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,604
− Management
−$1,604
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$5,374
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,290
After-tax cash flow
$5,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
19,572
Household income
$45,840
Rent vs Own
68.0% rent · 32.0% own
Severe rent burden
1755.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.99%
Current HPI
140.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+930.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $119,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $132,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-23 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-30 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed $132,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-03-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRIS
  • 2005-02-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2005-01-26 Listed $22,500 MRIS
  • 2000-12-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-06-01 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 1996-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,550 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $744 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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