1945 Norwood St NW · Warren, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors and handy homeowners! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Warren offers endless potential. Whether you’re looking for your next renovation project or envision converting it into a duplex for added income, this property is full of opportunity. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout ready for your personal touch and updates to bring it back to life. Outside, a large detached 3 car garage provides plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, perfect for any hobbyist or contractor. The beautiful backyard is the perfect place to relax or entertain guests, offering plenty of space for outdoor gatherings, gardens, or summer cookouts. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this property is ideal for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create value. With a little vision and effort, 1945 Norwood St NW could be transformed into a standout investment or a customized home you’ll love.
Key facts
- Beautiful backyard
- Spacious layout
- 0.33 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 6.0% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment F.
- Warren City (urban): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #599 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $796 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.21%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,232
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -51.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1744 Norwood St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,668 (-14%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 2910 Crestwood | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (-3%) | 18mo | $134,000 | $72 | 36 |
| 2405 Parkwood Dr NW | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,692 (-12%) | 7mo | $158,000 | $93 | 34 |
| 3510 Tod Ave NW | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,674 (-13%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $111 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $20,538
- Equity at exit
- $16,407
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $57,051
- Equity at exit
- $16,835
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44485
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1388 Beechcrest St NW Warren, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,195 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-01-21price $69,900 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
Calling all investors and handy homeowners! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Warren offers endless potential. Whether you’re looking for your next renovation project or envision converting it into a duplex for added income, this property is full of opportunity. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout ready for your personal touch and updates to bring it back to life. Outside, a large detached 3 car garage provides plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, perfect for any hobbyist or contractor. The beautiful backyard is the perfect place to relax or entertain guests, offering plenty of space for outdoor gatherings, gardens, or summer cookouts. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this property is ideal for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create value. With a little vision and effort, 1945 Norwood St NW could be transformed into a standout investment or a customized home you’ll love.
-
2025-10-08$114,900 Active 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
Calling all investors and handy homeowners! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Warren offers endless potential. Whether you’re looking for your next renovation project or envision converting it into a duplex for added income, this property is full of opportunity. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout ready for your personal touch and updates to bring it back to life. Outside, a large detached 3 car garage provides plenty of room for vehicles, storage, or a workshop, perfect for any hobbyist or contractor. The beautiful backyard is the perfect place to relax or entertain guests, offering plenty of space for outdoor gatherings, gardens, or summer cookouts. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and major routes, this property is ideal for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and create value. With a little vision and effort, 1945 Norwood St NW could be transformed into a standout investment or a customized home you’ll love.
-
2022-12-16soldstatus $104,500
-
2022-12-15soldstatus $104,500 Closed 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Spacious 1,934 sq home with 4 bedrooms, Living room, Dining room, Solid Knotty Pine Family Room with ventless gas log fireplace & Laundry room on 1st floor. Possible In-Law suite. Electric Service 200 Amp with 100 Amp Subpanel for upstairs, but electric billed together. Waterline installed for a vanity sink upstairs. . 3 car garage. New Sump pump. New refrigerator 2022. 2 Gas Furnaces 1 for upstairs & 1 for downstairs and Gas line installed upstairs for fireplace or stove, entire house gas billed all together. New hot water heater installed October 2022.
-
2022-10-31status Pending 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Spacious 1,934 sq home with 4 bedrooms, Living room, Dining room, Solid Knotty Pine Family Room with ventless gas log fireplace & Laundry room on 1st floor. Possible In-Law suite. Electric Service 200 Amp with 100 Amp Subpanel for upstairs, but electric billed together. Waterline installed for a vanity sink upstairs. . 3 car garage. New Sump pump. New refrigerator 2022. 2 Gas Furnaces 1 for upstairs & 1 for downstairs and Gas line installed upstairs for fireplace or stove, entire house gas billed all together. New hot water heater installed October 2022.
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2022-10-28price $98,850 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Spacious 1,934 sq home with 4 bedrooms, Living room, Dining room, Solid Knotty Pine Family Room with ventless gas log fireplace & Laundry room on 1st floor. Possible In-Law suite. Electric Service 200 Amp with 100 Amp Subpanel for upstairs, but electric billed together. Waterline installed for a vanity sink upstairs. . 3 car garage. New Sump pump. New refrigerator 2022. 2 Gas Furnaces 1 for upstairs & 1 for downstairs and Gas line installed upstairs for fireplace or stove, entire house gas billed all together. New hot water heater installed October 2022.
-
2022-10-07price $102,000 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Spacious 1,934 sq home with 4 bedrooms, Living room, Dining room, Solid Knotty Pine Family Room with ventless gas log fireplace & Laundry room on 1st floor. Possible In-Law suite. Electric Service 200 Amp with 100 Amp Subpanel for upstairs, but electric billed together. Waterline installed for a vanity sink upstairs. . 3 car garage. New Sump pump. New refrigerator 2022. 2 Gas Furnaces 1 for upstairs & 1 for downstairs and Gas line installed upstairs for fireplace or stove, entire house gas billed all together. New hot water heater installed October 2022.
-
2022-05-06$112,000 Active 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Spacious 1,934 sq home with 4 bedrooms, Living room, Dining room, Solid Knotty Pine Family Room with ventless gas log fireplace & Laundry room on 1st floor. Possible In-Law suite. Electric Service 200 Amp with 100 Amp Subpanel for upstairs, but electric billed together. Waterline installed for a vanity sink upstairs. . 3 car garage. New Sump pump. New refrigerator 2022. 2 Gas Furnaces 1 for upstairs & 1 for downstairs and Gas line installed upstairs for fireplace or stove, entire house gas billed all together. New hot water heater installed October 2022.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,646
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,101
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$984
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren City
- NCES district ID
- 3904499
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,222
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8299
- State rank
- #599 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #5068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, OH
- County
- Trumbull · 193,293 people
- City population
- 25,805
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,194
- Household income
- $33,720
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.2
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 38% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.14%
- Current HPI
- 212.5324
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-37.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-08 Listed $114,900 MLSNOW
- 2022-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
- 2022-12-15 Sold (MLS) $104,500 MLSNOW
- 2022-10-31 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-10-28 Price Changed $98,850 MLSNOW
- 2022-10-07 Price Changed $102,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-05-06 Listed $112,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,646 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…