2217 Highpoint Dr Unit 83 Highpoint Drive · Lake, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious and inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the amenity-rich Hideout community! Filled with natural light and designed for comfort and flexibility, this home offers a functional layout with generous living spaces ideal for entertaining, hosting guests, or everyday living. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend escape, this home delivers space, versatility, and the classic Poconos lifestyle. This home gives peace of mind, with a new metal roof, and new patio doors. Enjoy all that The Hideout has to offer, including lakes, beaches, pools, golf, skiing, and year-round activities right outside your door. Don't pass up this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in one of the area's most desirable communities!
Key facts
- Hideout community
- New metal roof
- New patio doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.30%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $286,351
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -7.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Northgate Rd | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 | 1,770 (+5%) | 1mo | $424,000 | $240 | 74 |
| 64 High Point Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 64 Highpoint Dr Lot 2232 | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 43 Boulder Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 6mo | $304,000 | $181 | 69 |
| 34 Glenwood Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,776 (+6%) | 8mo | $266,770 | $150 | 68 |
| 22 Boulder Ct | 0.33mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,805 (+7%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $199 | 61 |
| 11 Highpoint Ct | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-14%) | 1mo | $287,000 | $200 | 58 |
| 2745 Boulder Rd #143 | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,691 (+1%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $141 | 57 |
| 2086 Glenwood Ln | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,506 (-10%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $129 | 57 |
| 2659 Rockway Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-11%) | 2mo | $249,500 | $167 | 52 |
| 127 Northwood Ter | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+10%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $152 | 40 |
| 104 Rockway Road Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,801 (+7%) | 10mo | $282,000 | $157 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $157,905
- Equity at exit
- $238,733
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.13×
- Total profit
- $454,872
- Equity at exit
- $514,837
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$194
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1148 Golf Park Dr Lake Ariel, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,900 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $194 · $2,328/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $265,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Welcome to this spacious and inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the amenity-rich Hideout community! Filled with natural light and designed for comfort and flexibility, this home offers a functional layout with generous living spaces ideal for entertaining, hosting guests, or everyday living. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend escape, this home delivers space, versatility, and the classic Poconos lifestyle. This home gives peace of mind, with a new metal roof, and new patio doors. Enjoy all that The Hideout has to offer, including lakes, beaches, pools, golf, skiing, and year-round activities right outside your door. Don't pass up this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in one of the area's most desirable communities!
-
2026-04-16price $279,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Welcome to this spacious and inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the amenity-rich Hideout community! Filled with natural light and designed for comfort and flexibility, this home offers a functional layout with generous living spaces ideal for entertaining, hosting guests, or everyday living. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend escape, this home delivers space, versatility, and the classic Poconos lifestyle. This home gives peace of mind, with a new metal roof, and new patio doors. Enjoy all that The Hideout has to offer, including lakes, beaches, pools, golf, skiing, and year-round activities right outside your door. Don't pass up this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in one of the area's most desirable communities!
-
2026-02-13price $289,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Welcome to this spacious and inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the amenity-rich Hideout community! Filled with natural light and designed for comfort and flexibility, this home offers a functional layout with generous living spaces ideal for entertaining, hosting guests, or everyday living. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend escape, this home delivers space, versatility, and the classic Poconos lifestyle. This home gives peace of mind, with a new metal roof, and new patio doors. Enjoy all that The Hideout has to offer, including lakes, beaches, pools, golf, skiing, and year-round activities right outside your door. Don't pass up this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in one of the area's most desirable communities!
-
2026-01-14$299,500 Active 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Welcome to this spacious and inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the amenity-rich Hideout community! Filled with natural light and designed for comfort and flexibility, this home offers a functional layout with generous living spaces ideal for entertaining, hosting guests, or everyday living. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence or the perfect weekend escape, this home delivers space, versatility, and the classic Poconos lifestyle. This home gives peace of mind, with a new metal roof, and new patio doors. Enjoy all that The Hideout has to offer, including lakes, beaches, pools, golf, skiing, and year-round activities right outside your door. Don't pass up this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in one of the area's most desirable communities!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$1,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − HOA
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$1,616
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$388
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This home is in average condition with some minor repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout and is located in a desirable community. Upgrades to the interior and landscaping would significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor wooden deck — slight wear
- Minor wooden siding — slight wear
- Minor carpeted floors — some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale replace carpet with hardwood — increases value and reduces maintenance
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| wooden deck · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| wooden siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| carpeted floors · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace carpet with hardwood — increases value and reduces maintenance ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226070
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 43.65/100
- National rank
- #2964
- State rank
- #165 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Hideout, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-11.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $265,000 PWMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $279,000 PWMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $289,000 PWMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $299,500 PWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…