Duplex
356-358 Oakland Ave · Ashland, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 units both units are tenant occupied. Property is being sold as is. 24 hour notice for showings. Please contact listing agent to schedule a showings.
Key facts
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 364 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $170/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 10.9% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $120k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.55%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,548
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 34.01%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $87,223
- Equity at exit
- $108,106
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.16×
- Total profit
- $240,412
- Equity at exit
- $233,134
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17921
- Home prices YoY
- 21.7%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $977/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $407 | -5% $373 | +0% $339 | +5% $305 | +10% $271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $261 | +0% $339 | +5% $417 | +10% $495 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $370 | base $339 | +0.5pp $308 | +1.0pp $276 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,976 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $988 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $988 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,975 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2025-06-17$120,000 Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
2 units both units are tenant occupied. Property is being sold as is. 24 hour notice for showings. Please contact listing agent to schedule a showings.
-
2024-11-13soldstatus $51,000 Closed 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2024-11-13soldstatus $51,000
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2024-10-30status Pending 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2024-10-29historical 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2024-10-27price $59,900 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2024-09-20$69,900 Active 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Both sides are occupied with tenants. Notice must be in place. 356 Oakland tenant under section 8. Lease till March 2025 at $858 per month. 358 Oakland there is no active lease. Tenant paying $740 per month.
-
2017-04-28soldstatus $23,500
-
2005-11-26soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $977 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$459/yr (+$38/mo · 47.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$977
- − Insurance
- −$6,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,593
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Schuylkill SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210110
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,529
- Composite
- 28.37/100
- National rank
- #6770
- State rank
- #429 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #1179
- US rank
- #13787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,029
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 62.11%
- Current HPI
- 347.8425
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-17 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-13 Sold (MLS) $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-27 Price Changed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-20 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
- 2005-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $977 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…