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223 W Oliver St
C Composite 56.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

223 W Oliver St · West Memphis, AR 72301
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,564 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1941 10,018 sqft lot $102/sqft · 8% below area Est $174k · 8% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 4-Bedroom, 2-Bath Home in the Heart of Town This adorable home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, giving it a bright and updated feel. With four spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, there's plenty of room for family or guests. Conveniently located in the middle of town, you'll be close to shops, schools, and parks. Perfect as a starter home or for anyone looking for comfort and convenience!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 231 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (0.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.29%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,597
List price
$159,000
Delta
-8.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 W Danner Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,425 (-9%) 1mo $115,000 $81 71
618 S Roselawn 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,537 (-2%) 0mo $140,000 $91 56
424 N Roselawn Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,554 (-1%) 9mo $185,000 $119 53
126 W Cooper Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,372 (-12%) 12mo $183,000 $133 51
128 Ross Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,486 (-5%) 14mo $194,900 $131 51
508 Oxford St 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,484 (-5%) 5mo $170,000 $115 50
232 Ross Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (+14%) 5mo $177,500 $100 43
228 Ross Rd 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,375 (-12%) 14mo $82,900 $60 42
510 Auburn Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,439 (-8%) 12mo $45,500 $32 39
213 S Worthington Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,375 (-12%) 6mo $169,900 $124 39
502 W Barton Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,766 (+13%) 12mo $200,000 $113 38
519 S Roselawn Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,780 (+14%) 8mo $100,000 $56 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,241
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$19,506
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,583 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $511/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $353 +0% $308 +5% $263 +10% $218
Rent -10% $183 -5% $245 +0% $308 +5% $370 +10% $433
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $348 base $308 +0.5pp $266 +1.0pp $225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,495 $1.27 24d 1 1.07mi
905 Maple Dr West Memphis, AR 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,699 $1.44 2d 1 1.07mi
1398 E Barton Ave West Memphis, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 11d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $159,000 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 228 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 226 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,000 Active 223 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 222 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 221 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 220 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 216 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 215 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 214 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 213 DOM
  15. 2026-01-23
    price $179,000 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Charming 4-Bedroom, 2-Bath Home in the Heart of Town This adorable home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, giving it a bright and updated feel. With four spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, there's plenty of room for family or guests. Conveniently located in the middle of town, you'll be close to shops, schools, and parks. Perfect as a starter home or for anyone looking for comfort and convenience!

  16. 2025-10-30
    listed $184,900 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Charming 4-Bedroom, 2-Bath Home in the Heart of Town This adorable home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, giving it a bright and updated feel. With four spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, there's plenty of room for family or guests. Conveniently located in the middle of town, you'll be close to shops, schools, and parks. Perfect as a starter home or for anyone looking for comfort and convenience!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$511 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$506/yr (+$42/mo · 99.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,993
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$511
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,519
− Management
−$1,519
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$1,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$268
After-tax cash flow
$3,424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $179,000 EARA
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $184,900 EARA

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $511 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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